Lamar
Southland · 2–1
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +29.7 avg | × 27% | +8.1 |
| Opponents faced | -25.5 avg | × 27% | -7.0 |
| Preseason prior | -8.5 | × 73% | -6.1 |
| Power | -5.0 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs | Schreiner non-D1 | W 124–62 | +31.1 | +30.9 | +0.5 |
| 2 | at | Abilene Christian | L 81–83 | +2.8 | -4.8 | -0.5 |
| 3 | vs | Centenary (LA) non-D1 | W 122–57 | +31.1 | +33.9 | +1.1 |
| Preseason prior (73% of the rating) | -6.1 | |||||
| Power | -5.0 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | at | Omaha | +2.9 | 60% |
| 4 | N | Rice | +2.7 | 60% |
| 5 | N | Robert Morris | -1.7 | 44% |
Season by season
Best finish: #47 in 2011–12. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 12–19 | #239 of 365 · -5.58 | – |
| 2024–25 | 20–13 | #191 of 364 · -1.80 | – |
| 2023–24 | 19–14 | #243 of 362 · -5.02 | – |
| 2022–23 | 9–22 | #357 of 363 · -17.83 | – |
| 2021–22 | 2–27 | #342 of 358 · -15.05 | – |
| 2020–21 | 10–18 | #274 of 347 · -7.97 | – |
| 2019–20 | 14–15 | – | #212 of 353 · 14.01 |
| 2018–19 | 16–13 | – | #155 of 353 · 37.85 |
| 2017–18 | 19–14 | – | #132 of 351 · 55.32 |
| 2016–17 | 19–15 | – | #170 of 351 · 38.58 |
| 2015–16 | 11–19 | – | #258 of 351 · -8.53 |
| 2014–15 | 15–15 | – | #203 of 351 · 22.66 |
| 2013–14 | 4–26 | – | #339 of 351 · -70.47 |
| 2012–13 | 3–28 | – | #346 of 347 · -126.31 |
| 2011–12 | 23–12 | – | #47 of 345 · 105.54 |
| 2010–11 | 13–17 | – | #172 of 346 · 33.90 |
| 2009–10 | 14–18 | – | #251 of 335 · -1.04 |
| 2008–09 | 15–15 | – | #185 of 330 · 26.96 |
| 2007–08 | 19–11 | – | #108 of 328 · 66.88 |
| 2006–07 | 15–17 | – | #219 of 326 · 7.54 |
| 2005–06 | 17–14 | – | #177 of 326 · 29.19 |
| 2004–05 | 18–11 | – | #124 of 326 · 49.54 |