Rice
American · 1–2
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +3.4 avg | × 27% | +0.9 |
| Opponents faced | -14.2 avg | × 27% | -3.9 |
| Preseason prior | -6.5 | × 73% | -4.7 |
| Power | -7.7 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs | Dallas Christian non-D1 | W 100–55 | +28.5 | +16.5 | -0.6 |
| 2 | vs | East Texas A&M | L 71–72 | +5.8 | -6.8 | -1.9 |
| 3 | at | Stanford | L 73–91 | -22.6 | +4.6 | -0.5 |
| Preseason prior (73% of the rating) | -4.7 | |||||
| Power | -7.7 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | Stephen F. Austin | -13.6 | 11% |
| 4 | vs | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | -0.9 | 47% |
| 4 | N | Lamar | -2.7 | 40% |
| 5 | N | UIC | -14.3 | 10% |
| 5 | N | Ohio | -7.3 | 25% |
| 5 | at | Arkansas State | -7.6 | 24% |
Season by season
Best finish: #91 in 2004–05. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 13–18 | #231 of 365 · -5.05 | – |
| 2024–25 | 13–19 | #216 of 364 · -3.46 | – |
| 2023–24 | 11–21 | #223 of 362 · -4.13 | – |
| 2022–23 | 19–16 | #200 of 363 · -1.87 | – |
| 2021–22 | 16–17 | #189 of 358 · -0.96 | – |
| 2020–21 | 15–13 | #185 of 347 · -1.43 | – |
| 2019–20 | 13–17 | – | #219 of 353 · 7.81 |
| 2018–19 | 11–19 | – | #256 of 353 · -6.40 |
| 2017–18 | 7–24 | – | #316 of 351 · -37.31 |
| 2016–17 | 23–12 | – | #105 of 351 · 65.73 |
| 2015–16 | 12–20 | – | #281 of 351 · -17.30 |
| 2014–15 | 12–20 | – | #251 of 351 · 2.42 |
| 2013–14 | 7–23 | – | #318 of 351 · -39.59 |
| 2012–13 | 4–25 | – | #335 of 347 · -75.77 |
| 2011–12 | 17–13 | – | #142 of 345 · 48.07 |
| 2010–11 | 14–18 | – | #145 of 346 · 45.97 |
| 2009–10 | 8–23 | – | #275 of 335 · -16.43 |
| 2008–09 | 10–22 | – | #284 of 330 · -20.49 |
| 2007–08 | 3–27 | – | #318 of 328 · -63.15 |
| 2006–07 | 16–16 | – | #203 of 326 · 15.51 |
| 2005–06 | 12–16 | – | #238 of 326 · 0.37 |
| 2004–05 | 18–12 | – | #91 of 326 · 68.11 |