The MRI
2026–27 · Week 3

Prairie View A&M

SWAC · 2–2

Power-14.1#337 of 365
Résumé-0.69#401 · wins above average
Movement-10down from #327 last week
Best winPaul Quinn (86–65)
Worst lossUT Rio Grande Valley (63–68)
Schedule faced-15.7 avg opponent
Schedule ahead+16.4 avg opponent
Returning production4% of last season's win shares · #311 of 364 · counted against its preseason rating
Incoming production3.6 win shares from other schools' players

How this rating is built

Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.

PartValueWeightAdds
Margin counted-0.1 avg× 33%+0.0
Opponents faced-15.7 avg× 33%-5.3
Preseason prior-13.2× 67%-8.8
Power-14.1

This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerfAdds
2 vs Paul Quinn non-D1 W 86–65 +22.0 -1.0 -1.0
2 vs College Of Biblical Studies non-D1 W 103–90 +22.0 -9.0 -2.3
2 at UT Rio Grande Valley L 63–68 -10.6 +5.6 -0.5
3 at SMU L 63–98 -31.4 -3.6 -1.5
Preseason prior (67% of the rating)-8.8
Power-14.1

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 at Vanderbilt -44.2 0%
4 at Ohio State -34.1 0%
5 at Marshall -15.1 8%
5 at Iowa -35.5 0%
9 at Texas -38.3 0%

Season by season

Best finish: #174 in 2018–19. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.

25 1 400 2004–05 (MRI Classic): #322 of 326 (5-23)2005–06 (MRI Classic): #324 of 326 (5-24)2006–07 (MRI Classic): #322 of 326 (8-22)2007–08 (MRI Classic): #317 of 328 (8-22)2008–09 (MRI Classic): #244 of 330 (17-16)2009–10 (MRI Classic): #243 of 335 (16-14)2010–11 (MRI Classic): #326 of 346 (10-22)2011–12 (MRI Classic): #277 of 345 (14-18)2012–13 (MRI Classic): #272 of 347 (12-19)2013–14 (MRI Classic): #322 of 351 (11-23)2014–15 (MRI Classic): #294 of 351 (15-18)2015–16 (MRI Classic): #336 of 351 (7-24)2016–17 (MRI Classic): #301 of 351 (13-20)2017–18 (MRI Classic): #243 of 351 (16-18)2018–19 (MRI Classic): #174 of 353 (21-13)2019–20 (MRI Classic): #179 of 353 (17-13)2020–21 (MRI 2.0): #196 of 347 (16-5)2021–22 (MRI 2.0): #288 of 358 (8-19)2022–23 (MRI 2.0): #290 of 363 (13-19)2023–24 (MRI 2.0): #332 of 362 (10-21)2024–25 (MRI 2.0): #360 of 364 (5-27)2025–26 (MRI 2.0): #304 of 365 (19-18) MRI 2.0Classic 2004–05 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRec MRI 2.0MRI Classic
2025–26 19–18 #304 of 365 · -10.84 –
2024–25 5–27 #360 of 364 · -18.51 –
2023–24 10–21 #332 of 362 · -13.15 –
2022–23 13–19 #290 of 363 · -7.90 –
2021–22 8–19 #288 of 358 · -8.34 –
2020–21 16–5 #196 of 347 · -2.34 –
2019–20 17–13 – #179 of 353 · 32.59
2018–19 21–13 – #174 of 353 · 29.77
2017–18 16–18 – #243 of 351 · 5.68
2016–17 13–20 – #301 of 351 · -26.63
2015–16 7–24 – #336 of 351 · -61.38
2014–15 15–18 – #294 of 351 · -21.02
2013–14 11–23 – #322 of 351 · -41.84
2012–13 12–19 – #272 of 347 · -21.35
2011–12 14–18 – #277 of 345 · -13.95
2010–11 10–22 – #326 of 346 · -58.91
2009–10 16–14 – #243 of 335 · 2.05
2008–09 17–16 – #244 of 330 · 0.31
2007–08 8–22 – #317 of 328 · -60.11
2006–07 8–22 – #322 of 326 · -65.03
2005–06 5–24 – #324 of 326 · -100.32
2004–05 5–23 – #322 of 326 · -84.59