UT Rio Grande Valley
Southland · 2–1
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +3.1 avg | × 27% | +0.9 |
| Opponents faced | -12.4 avg | × 27% | -3.4 |
| Preseason prior | -5.3 | × 73% | -3.9 |
| Power | -6.4 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs | Texas A&M-Kingsville non-D1 | W 81–51 | +29.7 | +0.3 | +0.3 |
| 2 | vs | Prairie View A&M | W 68–63 | +10.6 | -5.6 | -1.3 |
| 3 | vs | Texas State | L 65–72 | -5.8 | -1.2 | -1.5 |
| Preseason prior (73% of the rating) | -3.9 | |||||
| Power | -6.4 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | UT Arlington | -5.1 | 32% |
| 4 | vs | College Of Biblical Studies non-D1 | +29.7 | 100% |
| 4 | at | Austin Peay | -9.9 | 18% |
| 5 | at | UNLV | -13.9 | 10% |
| 8 | at | Dayton | -13.4 | 11% |
Season by season
Best finish: #157 in 2025–26. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 19–14 | #157 of 365 · 0.16 | – |
| 2024–25 | 16–15 | #274 of 364 · -7.56 | – |
| 2023–24 | 6–25 | #336 of 362 · -13.61 | – |
| 2022–23 | 15–17 | #262 of 363 · -6.24 | – |
| 2021–22 | 8–23 | #292 of 358 · -8.70 | – |
| 2020–21 | 9–10 | #219 of 347 · -3.39 | – |
| 2019–20 | 10–16 | – | #233 of 353 · 4.05 |
| 2018–19 | 18–17 | – | #179 of 353 · 26.65 |
| 2017–18 | 15–18 | – | #257 of 351 · -0.32 |
| 2016–17 | 10–22 | – | #295 of 351 · -23.45 |
| 2015–16 | 8–22 | – | #348 of 351 · -81.25 |
| 2014–15 | 10–21 | – | #338 of 351 · -58.06 |
| 2013–14 | 9–23 | – | #310 of 351 · -32.55 |
| 2012–13 | 12–16 | – | #309 of 347 · -40.49 |
| 2011–12 | 10–18 | – | #310 of 345 · -40.59 |
| 2010–11 | 6–25 | – | #329 of 346 · -62.11 |
| 2009–10 | 6–27 | – | #323 of 335 · -68.72 |
| 2008–09 | 10–17 | – | #286 of 330 · -22.30 |
| 2007–08 | 18–13 | – | #211 of 328 · 13.10 |
| 2006–07 | 14–15 | – | #238 of 326 · -2.64 |
| 2005–06 | 7–24 | – | #323 of 326 · -81.98 |
| 2004–05 | 12–16 | – | #282 of 326 · -22.19 |