Coppin State
MEAC · 1–3
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -4.3 avg | × 33% | -1.4 |
| Opponents faced | -5.3 avg | × 33% | -1.8 |
| Preseason prior | -22.0 | × 67% | -14.7 |
| Power | -17.9 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | Virginia Tech | L 54–88 | -36.6 | +2.6 | -1.3 |
| 2 | at | George Mason | L 51–68 | -29.4 | +12.4 | -0.6 |
| 3 | vs | Cheyney (PA) non-D1 | W 90–53 | +18.2 | +18.8 | -0.7 |
| 3 | N | Bradley | L 54–56 | -14.2 | +12.2 | -0.6 |
| Preseason prior (67% of the rating) | -14.7 | |||||
| Power | -17.9 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | South Florida | -34.7 | 0% |
| 4 | at | La Salle | -16.3 | 7% |
| 4 | at | Georgetown | -27.6 | 1% |
| 5 | at | Villanova | -37.4 | 0% |
| 6 | vs | Central Penn non-D1 | +18.2 | 95% |
Season by season
Best finish: #189 in 2004–05. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 7–24 | #364 of 365 · -23.01 | – |
| 2024–25 | 6–24 | #362 of 364 · -20.80 | – |
| 2023–24 | 2–27 | #360 of 362 · -21.14 | – |
| 2022–23 | 9–23 | #342 of 363 · -13.52 | – |
| 2021–22 | 9–23 | #317 of 358 · -11.42 | – |
| 2020–21 | 9–13 | #304 of 347 · -10.34 | – |
| 2019–20 | 11–20 | – | #320 of 353 · -45.96 |
| 2018–19 | 8–25 | – | #337 of 353 · -73.18 |
| 2017–18 | 5–27 | – | #349 of 351 · -106.79 |
| 2016–17 | 8–24 | – | #339 of 351 · -67.89 |
| 2015–16 | 9–22 | – | #326 of 351 · -46.88 |
| 2014–15 | 8–23 | – | #343 of 351 · -73.38 |
| 2013–14 | 12–20 | – | #291 of 351 · -20.79 |
| 2012–13 | 7–24 | – | #324 of 347 · -58.99 |
| 2011–12 | 13–16 | – | #267 of 345 · -10.26 |
| 2010–11 | 16–14 | – | #208 of 346 · 21.39 |
| 2009–10 | 8–22 | – | #311 of 335 · -47.91 |
| 2008–09 | 13–19 | – | #261 of 330 · -7.62 |
| 2007–08 | 16–21 | – | #278 of 328 · -20.13 |
| 2006–07 | 12–20 | – | #292 of 326 · -32.96 |
| 2005–06 | 12–18 | – | #279 of 326 · -16.44 |
| 2004–05 | 14–15 | – | #189 of 326 · 21.67 |