Idaho
Big Sky · 2–1
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +20.8 avg | × 27% | +5.7 |
| Opponents faced | -19.0 avg | × 27% | -5.2 |
| Preseason prior | -5.2 | × 73% | -3.8 |
| Power | -3.3 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs | George Fox non-D1 | W 97–56 | +32.9 | +8.1 | +0.7 |
| 2 | at | Colorado State | L 67–78 | -15.0 | +4.0 | +0.1 |
| 2 | vs | Lincoln University (CA) non-D1 | W 108–69 | +32.9 | +6.1 | -0.3 |
| Preseason prior (73% of the rating) | -3.8 | |||||
| Power | -3.3 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs | Cal Poly | +4.1 | 64% |
| 4 | at | Nevada | -16.9 | 6% |
| 4 | vs | Cal State Bakersfield | +11.0 | 84% |
| 5 | vs | Dickinson State (ND) non-D1 | +32.9 | 100% |
| 5 | at | Washington State | -2.5 | 41% |
| 6 | at | Northern Colorado | -5.1 | 32% |
| 6 | at | Portland State | -0.8 | 47% |
| 10 | vs | Utah Tech | +5.8 | 70% |
Season by season
Best finish: #94 in 2017–18. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 21–15 | #169 of 365 · -0.68 | – |
| 2024–25 | 14–19 | #281 of 364 · -8.26 | – |
| 2023–24 | 11–21 | #324 of 362 · -11.81 | – |
| 2022–23 | 10–22 | #320 of 363 · -10.51 | – |
| 2021–22 | 9–22 | #333 of 358 · -12.74 | – |
| 2020–21 | 1–21 | #341 of 347 · -17.71 | – |
| 2019–20 | 6–24 | – | #334 of 353 · -59.71 |
| 2018–19 | 3–26 | – | #347 of 353 · -96.42 |
| 2017–18 | 22–9 | – | #94 of 351 · 76.46 |
| 2016–17 | 19–14 | – | #179 of 351 · 36.68 |
| 2015–16 | 21–13 | – | #164 of 351 · 44.13 |
| 2014–15 | 13–17 | – | #189 of 351 · 27.65 |
| 2013–14 | 16–18 | – | #241 of 351 · 8.44 |
| 2012–13 | 11–18 | – | #212 of 347 · 11.71 |
| 2011–12 | 18–13 | – | #143 of 345 · 47.89 |
| 2010–11 | 18–14 | – | #160 of 346 · 39.93 |
| 2009–10 | 15–16 | – | #162 of 335 · 37.77 |
| 2008–09 | 17–16 | – | #191 of 330 · 24.10 |
| 2007–08 | 8–21 | – | #297 of 328 · -35.35 |
| 2006–07 | 4–27 | – | #324 of 326 · -78.35 |
| 2005–06 | 4–25 | – | #307 of 326 · -53.42 |
| 2004–05 | 8–21 | – | #259 of 326 · -8.19 |