Cal State Bakersfield
Big West · 3–0
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +21.2 avg | × 27% | +5.8 |
| Opponents faced | -17.8 avg | × 27% | -4.9 |
| Preseason prior | -16.8 | × 73% | -12.2 |
| Power | -11.3 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs | Stanton non-D1 | W 93–54 | +24.9 | +14.1 | +0.6 |
| 2 | vs | North Dakota State | W 91–80 | -5.1 | +16.1 | +0.4 |
| 3 | at | Western Illinois | W 91–83 | +7.7 | +0.3 | -0.1 |
| Preseason prior (73% of the rating) | -12.2 | |||||
| Power | -11.3 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | North Dakota State | -11.0 | 16% |
| 4 | at | Idaho | -11.0 | 16% |
| 5 | at | Pepperdine | -7.9 | 24% |
| 5 | vs | Northern Arizona | +2.8 | 60% |
Season by season
Best finish: #55 in 2015–16. 16 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 8–24 | #344 of 365 · -15.35 | – |
| 2024–25 | 14–19 | #267 of 364 · -7.02 | – |
| 2023–24 | 13–19 | #266 of 362 · -6.19 | – |
| 2022–23 | 11–22 | #305 of 363 · -9.22 | – |
| 2021–22 | 8–19 | #262 of 358 · -6.28 | – |
| 2020–21 | 15–11 | #147 of 347 · 1.29 | – |
| 2019–20 | 9–19 | – | #222 of 353 · 6.55 |
| 2018–19 | 15–16 | – | #185 of 353 · 24.26 |
| 2017–18 | 12–18 | – | #229 of 351 · 12.56 |
| 2016–17 | 24–10 | – | #63 of 351 · 92.34 |
| 2015–16 | 24–9 | – | #55 of 351 · 103.29 |
| 2014–15 | 14–19 | – | #184 of 351 · 30.09 |
| 2013–14 | 13–19 | – | #214 of 351 · 19.49 |
| 2012–13 | 10–16 | – | #246 of 347 · -6.00 |
| 2011–12 | 16–14 | – | #209 of 345 · 17.58 |
| 2010–11 | 9–19 | – | #313 of 346 · -40.66 |