Longwood
Big South · 3–1
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +18.9 avg | × 33% | +6.3 |
| Opponents faced | -19.4 avg | × 33% | -6.4 |
| Preseason prior | -6.3 | × 67% | -4.2 |
| Power | -4.3 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs | Pfeiffer non-D1 | W 123–67 | +31.8 | +24.2 | +0.5 |
| 2 | at | Saint Joseph's | L 73–82 | -10.3 | +1.3 | -0.2 |
| 2 | vs | North Carolina Central | W 80–75 | +13.9 | -8.9 | -1.3 |
| 3 | vs | St. Mary's (MD) non-D1 | W 101–45 | +31.8 | +24.2 | +0.9 |
| Preseason prior (67% of the rating) | -4.2 | |||||
| Power | -4.3 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | Old Dominion | -4.9 | 33% |
| 4 | vs | VMI | +11.9 | 86% |
| 4 | at | East Tennessee State | -10.4 | 17% |
| 5 | at | George Mason | -15.9 | 8% |
| 5 | vs | Maryland Eastern Shore | +14.9 | 91% |
Season by season
Best finish: #138 in 2022–23. 19 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 16–16 | #226 of 365 · -4.91 | – |
| 2024–25 | 18–14 | #197 of 364 · -2.15 | – |
| 2023–24 | 21–14 | #155 of 362 · 1.18 | – |
| 2022–23 | 20–12 | #138 of 363 · 2.11 | – |
| 2021–22 | 26–7 | #145 of 358 · 2.26 | – |
| 2020–21 | 12–17 | #254 of 347 · -6.11 | – |
| 2019–20 | 12–18 | – | #287 of 353 · -20.13 |
| 2018–19 | 13–18 | – | #257 of 353 · -6.83 |
| 2017–18 | 7–26 | – | #344 of 351 · -86.55 |
| 2016–17 | 6–24 | – | #347 of 351 · -90.91 |
| 2015–16 | 10–23 | – | #291 of 351 · -22.21 |
| 2014–15 | 11–23 | – | #322 of 351 · -40.48 |
| 2013–14 | 8–24 | – | #340 of 351 · -72.48 |
| 2012–13 | 6–25 | – | #343 of 347 · -99.42 |
| 2011–12 | 10–21 | – | #338 of 345 · -79.66 |
| 2010–11 | 12–19 | – | #323 of 346 · -54.57 |
| 2009–10 | 12–19 | – | #282 of 335 · -19.75 |
| 2008–09 | 17–14 | – | #269 of 330 · -13.01 |
| 2007–08 | 9–22 | – | #314 of 328 · -56.29 |