The MRI
2026–27 · Week 3

Maryland Eastern Shore

MEAC · 1–4

Power-16.3#351 of 365
Résumé-0.81#446 · wins above average
Movement—unchanged from #351 last week
Best winCheyney (PA) (81–55)
Worst lossRhode Island (47–67)
Schedule faced-1.5 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-11.4 avg opponent
Returning production0% of last season's win shares · #335 of 364 · counted against its preseason rating
Incoming production0.2 win shares from other schools' players

How this rating is built

Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 5 games, w is 38%, so the preseason prior is 62% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.

PartValueWeightAdds
Margin counted-10.9 avg× 38%-4.2
Opponents faced-1.5 avg× 38%-0.6
Preseason prior-18.8× 62%-11.5
Power-16.3

This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerfAdds
2 at Wake Forest L 62–83 -28.6 +7.6 -0.9
2 at High Point L 49–63 -33.2 +19.2 +0.1
2 vs Cheyney (PA) non-D1 W 81–55 +19.9 +6.1 -1.2
3 at Boston College L 54–82 -26.2 -1.8 -1.6
3 at Rhode Island L 47–67 -23.4 +3.4 -1.2
Preseason prior (62% of the rating)-11.5
Power-16.3

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 vs Neumann non-D1 +19.9 96%
4 at DePaul -28.4 0%
4 vs Bloomfield non-D1 +19.9 96%
4 N IU Indianapolis -3.3 38%
5 at Youngstown State -14.7 9%
5 at Longwood -14.9 9%
7 vs American University -12.5 13%

Season by season

Best finish: #176 in 2014–15. 21 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.

25 1 400 2004–05 (MRI Classic): #326 of 326 (2-26)2005–06 (MRI Classic): #310 of 326 (7-22)2006–07 (MRI Classic): #326 of 326 (4-27)2007–08 (MRI Classic): #327 of 328 (4-28)2008–09 (MRI Classic): #323 of 330 (7-23)2009–10 (MRI Classic): #308 of 335 (11-21)2010–11 (MRI Classic): #322 of 346 (9-22)2011–12 (MRI Classic): #327 of 345 (7-23)2012–13 (MRI Classic): #337 of 347 (2-26)2013–14 (MRI Classic): #338 of 351 (6-24)2014–15 (MRI Classic): #176 of 351 (18-15)2015–16 (MRI Classic): #306 of 351 (10-22)2016–17 (MRI Classic): #293 of 351 (14-20)2017–18 (MRI Classic): #346 of 351 (7-25)2018–19 (MRI Classic): #351 of 353 (5-25)2019–20 (MRI Classic): #348 of 353 (4-27)2021–22 (MRI 2.0): #325 of 358 (11-16)2022–23 (MRI 2.0): #245 of 363 (18-13)2023–24 (MRI 2.0): #339 of 362 (9-20)2024–25 (MRI 2.0): #355 of 364 (6-25)2025–26 (MRI 2.0): #345 of 365 (9-23) MRI 2.0Classic 2004–05 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRec MRI 2.0MRI Classic
2025–26 9–23 #345 of 365 · -15.36 –
2024–25 6–25 #355 of 364 · -17.07 –
2023–24 9–20 #339 of 362 · -14.19 –
2022–23 18–13 #245 of 363 · -4.90 –
2021–22 11–16 #325 of 358 · -12.03 –
2019–20 4–27 – #348 of 353 · -117.70
2018–19 5–25 – #351 of 353 · -121.66
2017–18 7–25 – #346 of 351 · -100.96
2016–17 14–20 – #293 of 351 · -21.43
2015–16 10–22 – #306 of 351 · -31.97
2014–15 18–15 – #176 of 351 · 33.72
2013–14 6–24 – #338 of 351 · -66.00
2012–13 2–26 – #337 of 347 · -81.01
2011–12 7–23 – #327 of 345 · -64.15
2010–11 9–22 – #322 of 346 · -54.01
2009–10 11–21 – #308 of 335 · -46.07
2008–09 7–23 – #323 of 330 · -75.32
2007–08 4–28 – #327 of 328 · -110.94
2006–07 4–27 – #326 of 326 · -92.38
2005–06 7–22 – #310 of 326 · -57.79
2004–05 2–26 – #326 of 326 · -174.56