VMI
SoCon · 2–2
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +5.8 avg | × 33% | +1.9 |
| Opponents faced | -15.1 avg | × 33% | -5.0 |
| Preseason prior | -15.2 | × 67% | -10.2 |
| Power | -13.3 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs | Virginia-Lynchburg non-D1 | W 115–83 | +22.9 | +9.1 | -1.6 |
| 2 | at | SMU | L 70–95 | -30.6 | +5.6 | -0.9 |
| 2 | at | UTSA | L 68–70 | -6.7 | +4.7 | -0.4 |
| 3 | vs | North Carolina Central | W 65–51 | +5.0 | +9.0 | -0.2 |
| Preseason prior (67% of the rating) | -10.2 | |||||
| Power | -13.3 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs | Mary Baldwin non-D1 | +22.9 | 98% |
| 4 | at | Longwood | -11.9 | 14% |
| 4 | vs | Gardner-Webb | +8.3 | 77% |
| 5 | vs | Southern Indiana | +2.4 | 59% |
| 5 | at | Richmond | -21.1 | 3% |
| 6 | vs | UNC Greensboro | -1.5 | 44% |
| 6 | vs | East Tennessee State | -13.4 | 11% |
| 10 | vs | Furman | -14.3 | 10% |
Season by season
Best finish: #122 in 2008–09. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 6–26 | #355 of 365 · -18.15 | – |
| 2024–25 | 15–19 | #310 of 364 · -10.70 | – |
| 2023–24 | 4–28 | #359 of 362 · -19.22 | – |
| 2022–23 | 7–25 | #335 of 363 · -12.56 | – |
| 2021–22 | 16–16 | #155 of 358 · 1.28 | – |
| 2020–21 | 13–12 | #140 of 347 · 1.93 | – |
| 2019–20 | 6–24 | – | #282 of 353 · -17.14 |
| 2018–19 | 8–21 | – | #328 of 353 · -52.78 |
| 2017–18 | 9–21 | – | #325 of 351 · -45.17 |
| 2016–17 | 6–24 | – | #330 of 351 · -52.01 |
| 2015–16 | 9–21 | – | #321 of 351 · -39.39 |
| 2014–15 | 11–19 | – | #291 of 351 · -19.18 |
| 2013–14 | 22–13 | – | #162 of 351 · 40.56 |
| 2012–13 | 11–17 | – | #300 of 347 · -32.54 |
| 2011–12 | 16–16 | – | #266 of 345 · -10.01 |
| 2010–11 | 18–13 | – | #183 of 346 · 31.98 |
| 2009–10 | 10–19 | – | #315 of 335 · -54.20 |
| 2008–09 | 24–8 | – | #122 of 330 · 55.92 |
| 2007–08 | 14–15 | – | #198 of 328 · 18.59 |
| 2006–07 | 14–19 | – | #206 of 326 · 13.89 |
| 2005–06 | 7–20 | – | #294 of 326 · -32.13 |
| 2004–05 | 9–18 | – | #299 of 326 · -36.76 |