The MRI
2025–26 · Final

New Haven

NEC · 14–17

Power-14.2#337 of 365
Résumé-8.41#674 · wins above average
Trendrating by week
Best winLong Island University (55–52)
Worst lossSt. Francis (PA) (67–73)
Schedule faced-10.0 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-17.7 avg opponent

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerf
1 at UConn L 55–79 -41.2 +17.2
1 vs Columbia L 53–71 -10.2 -7.8
1 vs Penn State L 43–87 -14.0 -30.0
2 at UMass Lowell W 73–67 -8.9 +14.9
2 vs Delaware State W 65–52 +8.4 +4.6
3 at Seton Hall L 45–68 -27.2 +4.2
3 vs Vermont State - Lyndon non-D1 W 122–51 +26.4 +44.6
4 vs Salve Regina non-D1 W 78–47 +26.4 +4.6
4 vs Mitchell College non-D1 W 92–69 +26.4 -3.4
5 at Boston College L 63–67 -15.3 +11.3
6 at NJIT L 64–70 -3.4 -2.6
8 at Fordham L 47–65 -15.3 -2.7
9 at Vanderbilt L 53–96 -38.5 -4.5
9 at Stonehill W 70–55 -3.6 +18.6
9 at Central Connecticut L 61–72 -9.1 -1.9
10 at Le Moyne L 47–73 -6.2 -19.8
10 vs Fairleigh Dickinson W 65–55 +1.9 +8.1
11 vs Wagner W 80–74 -0.8 +6.8
12 at Chicago State W 62–56 +0.7 +5.3
12 vs Mercyhurst L 57–61 -2.6 -1.4
13 at Mercyhurst L 51–70 -8.0 -11.0
13 at St. Francis (PA) W 81–69 +0.8 +11.2
14 at Long Island University L 55–60 -12.8 +7.8
14 vs Chicago State L 57–63 +6.1 -12.1
15 vs Central Connecticut L 76–81 -3.6 -1.4
15 vs Long Island University W 55–52 -7.3 +10.3
16 vs Stonehill W 64–51 +1.8 +11.2
16 at Fairleigh Dickinson W 84–77 -3.6 +10.6
17 vs St. Francis (PA) L 67–73 +6.2 -12.2
17 at Wagner L 62–65 -6.2 +3.2
17 vs Le Moyne W 66–59 -0.8 +7.8

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
12 vs St. Francis (PA) +6.2 71%