New Hampshire
Am. East · 3–1
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +16.1 avg | × 33% | +5.4 |
| Opponents faced | -18.9 avg | × 33% | -6.3 |
| Preseason prior | -13.3 | × 67% | -8.9 |
| Power | -9.8 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | Brown | W 59–55 | -3.6 | +7.6 | +0.5 |
| 2 | at | Rider | W 66–55 | +7.4 | +3.6 | +0.4 |
| 2 | vs | Sacred Heart | L 76–81 | +3.0 | -8.1 | -2.2 |
| 3 | vs | Thomas (ME) non-D1 | W 114–55 | +26.4 | +32.6 | +0.4 |
| Preseason prior (67% of the rating) | -8.9 | |||||
| Power | -9.8 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | Boston College | -19.7 | 4% |
| 4 | at | Stonehill | +2.7 | 60% |
| 4 | at | New Haven | +0.6 | 52% |
| 5 | at | Seton Hall | -23.2 | 2% |
| 5 | at | Holy Cross | +3.7 | 63% |
| 7 | at | Marquette | -30.7 | 0% |
| 10 | at | Iowa State | -40.0 | 0% |
| 10 | at | UMass Lowell | -6.1 | 29% |
Season by season
Best finish: #125 in 2016–17. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 9–21 | #339 of 365 · -14.54 | – |
| 2024–25 | 8–24 | #350 of 364 · -15.90 | – |
| 2023–24 | 16–15 | #244 of 362 · -5.06 | – |
| 2022–23 | 15–15 | #268 of 363 · -6.66 | – |
| 2021–22 | 15–13 | #213 of 358 · -2.82 | – |
| 2020–21 | 10–9 | #239 of 347 · -4.91 | – |
| 2019–20 | 13–15 | – | #197 of 353 · 21.07 |
| 2018–19 | 3–24 | – | #345 of 353 · -89.14 |
| 2017–18 | 10–21 | – | #245 of 351 · 5.11 |
| 2016–17 | 20–12 | – | #125 of 351 · 56.32 |
| 2015–16 | 20–13 | – | #173 of 351 · 37.71 |
| 2014–15 | 19–13 | – | #149 of 351 · 46.46 |
| 2013–14 | 6–24 | – | #330 of 351 · -55.20 |
| 2012–13 | 8–20 | – | #257 of 347 · -15.35 |
| 2011–12 | 13–16 | – | #273 of 345 · -12.28 |
| 2010–11 | 12–18 | – | #273 of 346 · -12.73 |
| 2009–10 | 13–17 | – | #236 of 335 · 6.07 |
| 2008–09 | 14–16 | – | #212 of 330 · 13.70 |
| 2007–08 | 9–20 | – | #247 of 328 · -6.36 |
| 2006–07 | 10–20 | – | #305 of 326 · -42.17 |
| 2005–06 | 12–17 | – | #287 of 326 · -23.47 |
| 2004–05 | 9–19 | – | #280 of 326 · -20.52 |