UC Riverside
Big West · 3–0
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +18.6 avg | × 27% | +5.1 |
| Opponents faced | -15.7 avg | × 27% | -4.3 |
| Preseason prior | -9.9 | × 73% | -7.2 |
| Power | -6.4 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs | La Verne non-D1 | W 110–47 | +29.8 | +33.2 | +0.5 |
| 2 | vs | Denver | W 64–60 | +0.9 | +3.1 | -0.6 |
| 3 | at | San José State | W 80–75 | -3.1 | +8.1 | +0.9 |
| Preseason prior (73% of the rating) | -7.2 | |||||
| Power | -6.4 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | Fresno State | -2.0 | 43% |
| 4 | at | San Diego | -3.9 | 36% |
| 5 | vs | Portland State | +2.0 | 57% |
| 5 | vs | Lincoln University (CA) non-D1 | +29.8 | 100% |
Season by season
Best finish: #120 in 2020–21. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 10–22 | #276 of 365 · -8.42 | – |
| 2024–25 | 21–13 | #190 of 364 · -1.79 | – |
| 2023–24 | 16–18 | #226 of 362 · -4.18 | – |
| 2022–23 | 22–12 | #152 of 363 · 1.06 | – |
| 2021–22 | 16–12 | #170 of 358 · 0.09 | – |
| 2020–21 | 14–8 | #120 of 347 · 4.19 | – |
| 2019–20 | 14–15 | – | #210 of 353 · 14.47 |
| 2018–19 | 7–23 | – | #330 of 353 · -54.92 |
| 2017–18 | 9–22 | – | #297 of 351 · -21.68 |
| 2016–17 | 7–21 | – | #304 of 351 · -27.16 |
| 2015–16 | 14–19 | – | #226 of 351 · 9.09 |
| 2014–15 | 14–17 | – | #213 of 351 · 18.94 |
| 2013–14 | 10–21 | – | #286 of 351 · -12.79 |
| 2012–13 | 4–24 | – | #319 of 347 · -55.44 |
| 2011–12 | 14–17 | – | #276 of 345 · -13.94 |
| 2010–11 | 12–19 | – | #280 of 346 · -17.74 |
| 2009–10 | 12–17 | – | #217 of 335 · 12.83 |
| 2008–09 | 17–13 | – | #204 of 330 · 19.78 |
| 2007–08 | 9–21 | – | #286 of 328 · -24.28 |
| 2006–07 | 7–24 | – | #312 of 326 · -49.21 |
| 2005–06 | 5–23 | – | #318 of 326 · -66.53 |
| 2004–05 | 9–19 | – | #277 of 326 · -18.67 |