Denver
WCC · 0–2
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 2 games, w is 20%, so the preseason prior is 80% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -0.1 avg | × 20% | +0.0 |
| Opponents faced | +5.0 avg | × 20% | +1.0 |
| Preseason prior | -6.6 | × 80% | -5.3 |
| Power | -4.3 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | Wisconsin | L 68–75 | -23.7 | +16.7 | +1.4 |
| 2 | at | UC Riverside | L 60–64 | -0.9 | -3.1 | -0.4 |
| Preseason prior (80% of the rating) | -5.3 | |||||
| Power | -4.3 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs | Wyoming | -6.5 | 28% |
| 4 | vs | Colorado-Colorado Springs non-D1 | +31.8 | 100% |
| 4 | at | Eastern Michigan | -4.0 | 36% |
| 5 | at | Kansas | -38.5 | 0% |
| 5 | at | New Mexico State | -4.1 | 36% |
| 6 | at | Air Force | +3.5 | 62% |
| 10 | at | Colorado | -15.6 | 8% |
Season by season
Best finish: #56 in 2012–13. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 15–17 | #256 of 365 · -6.56 | – |
| 2024–25 | 11–21 | #321 of 364 · -11.35 | – |
| 2023–24 | 17–17 | #272 of 362 · -6.61 | – |
| 2022–23 | 15–17 | #314 of 363 · -10.09 | – |
| 2021–22 | 11–21 | #318 of 358 · -11.47 | – |
| 2020–21 | 2–19 | #335 of 347 · -15.66 | – |
| 2019–20 | 6–24 | – | #319 of 353 · -45.86 |
| 2018–19 | 7–22 | – | #310 of 353 · -37.69 |
| 2017–18 | 15–15 | – | #212 of 351 · 21.42 |
| 2016–17 | 16–14 | – | #178 of 351 · 36.83 |
| 2015–16 | 16–15 | – | #204 of 351 · 20.35 |
| 2014–15 | 12–18 | – | #224 of 351 · 14.81 |
| 2013–14 | 16–15 | – | #152 of 351 · 44.12 |
| 2012–13 | 21–9 | – | #56 of 347 · 97.81 |
| 2011–12 | 22–9 | – | #73 of 345 · 86.74 |
| 2010–11 | 13–17 | – | #226 of 346 · 11.00 |
| 2009–10 | 19–13 | – | #175 of 335 · 33.74 |
| 2008–09 | 15–16 | – | #220 of 330 · 8.38 |
| 2007–08 | 11–19 | – | #252 of 328 · -8.12 |
| 2006–07 | 4–25 | – | #325 of 326 · -87.61 |
| 2005–06 | 16–15 | – | #190 of 326 · 24.38 |
| 2004–05 | 19–11 | – | #94 of 326 · 66.19 |