The MRI
2026–27 · Week 3

Bethune-Cookman

SWAC · 0–4

Power-3.2#185 of 365
Résumé-0.61#371 · wins above average
Movement+15up from #200 last week
Worst lossFurman (70–79)
Schedule faced+14.2 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-0.1 avg opponent
Returning production27% of last season's win shares · #144 of 364 · counted against its preseason rating
Incoming production9.2 win shares from other schools' players

How this rating is built

Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.

PartValueWeightAdds
Margin counted-14.8 avg× 33%-4.9
Opponents faced+14.2 avg× 33%+4.8
Preseason prior-4.6× 67%-3.1
Power-3.2

This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerfAdds
2 N Furman L 70–79 -7.2 -1.8 -0.8
2 at Texas Tech L 58–76 -31.2 +13.2 +0.7
2 at Grand Canyon L 81–99 -21.7 +3.7 -0.1
3 at San Diego State L 75–88 -18.7 +5.7 +0.1
Preseason prior (67% of the rating)-3.1
Power-3.2

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
4 vs Paine non-D1 +32.9 100%
4 at Creighton -19.1 4%
5 at Richmond -11.0 16%
5 at San Francisco -7.0 26%
9 at Florida State -20.6 3%

Season by season

Best finish: #195 in 2008–09. 21 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.

25 1 400 2004–05 (MRI Classic): #296 of 326 (13-17)2005–06 (MRI Classic): #276 of 326 (15-15)2006–07 (MRI Classic): #314 of 326 (9-21)2007–08 (MRI Classic): #282 of 328 (11-21)2008–09 (MRI Classic): #195 of 330 (17-16)2009–10 (MRI Classic): #212 of 335 (17-16)2010–11 (MRI Classic): #210 of 346 (21-13)2011–12 (MRI Classic): #229 of 345 (18-17)2012–13 (MRI Classic): #240 of 347 (12-20)2013–14 (MRI Classic): #333 of 351 (7-25)2014–15 (MRI Classic): #312 of 351 (11-21)2015–16 (MRI Classic): #284 of 351 (14-18)2016–17 (MRI Classic): #318 of 351 (10-22)2017–18 (MRI Classic): #218 of 351 (18-14)2018–19 (MRI Classic): #253 of 353 (12-17)2019–20 (MRI Classic): #262 of 353 (13-14)2021–22 (MRI 2.0): #348 of 358 (9-21)2022–23 (MRI 2.0): #349 of 363 (12-20)2023–24 (MRI 2.0): #311 of 362 (17-17)2024–25 (MRI 2.0): #292 of 364 (17-16)2025–26 (MRI 2.0): #240 of 365 (17-15) MRI 2.0Classic 2004–05 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRec MRI 2.0MRI Classic
2025–26 17–15 #240 of 365 · -5.63 –
2024–25 17–16 #292 of 364 · -9.09 –
2023–24 17–17 #311 of 362 · -10.05 –
2022–23 12–20 #349 of 363 · -14.70 –
2021–22 9–21 #348 of 358 · -16.08 –
2019–20 13–14 – #262 of 353 · -5.84
2018–19 12–17 – #253 of 353 · -5.81
2017–18 18–14 – #218 of 351 · 18.41
2016–17 10–22 – #318 of 351 · -40.24
2015–16 14–18 – #284 of 351 · -18.10
2014–15 11–21 – #312 of 351 · -29.06
2013–14 7–25 – #333 of 351 · -62.94
2012–13 12–20 – #240 of 347 · -1.97
2011–12 18–17 – #229 of 345 · 10.21
2010–11 21–13 – #210 of 346 · 21.19
2009–10 17–16 – #212 of 335 · 13.93
2008–09 17–16 – #195 of 330 · 23.12
2007–08 11–21 – #282 of 328 · -22.63
2006–07 9–21 – #314 of 326 · -51.20
2005–06 15–15 – #276 of 326 · -15.15
2004–05 13–17 – #296 of 326 · -32.09