Bethune-Cookman
SWAC · 0–4
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -14.8 avg | × 33% | -4.9 |
| Opponents faced | +14.2 avg | × 33% | +4.8 |
| Preseason prior | -4.6 | × 67% | -3.1 |
| Power | -3.2 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | N | Furman | L 70–79 | -7.2 | -1.8 | -0.8 |
| 2 | at | Texas Tech | L 58–76 | -31.2 | +13.2 | +0.7 |
| 2 | at | Grand Canyon | L 81–99 | -21.7 | +3.7 | -0.1 |
| 3 | at | San Diego State | L 75–88 | -18.7 | +5.7 | +0.1 |
| Preseason prior (67% of the rating) | -3.1 | |||||
| Power | -3.2 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vs | Paine non-D1 | +32.9 | 100% |
| 4 | at | Creighton | -19.1 | 4% |
| 5 | at | Richmond | -11.0 | 16% |
| 5 | at | San Francisco | -7.0 | 26% |
| 9 | at | Florida State | -20.6 | 3% |
Season by season
Best finish: #195 in 2008–09. 21 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 17–15 | #240 of 365 · -5.63 | – |
| 2024–25 | 17–16 | #292 of 364 · -9.09 | – |
| 2023–24 | 17–17 | #311 of 362 · -10.05 | – |
| 2022–23 | 12–20 | #349 of 363 · -14.70 | – |
| 2021–22 | 9–21 | #348 of 358 · -16.08 | – |
| 2019–20 | 13–14 | – | #262 of 353 · -5.84 |
| 2018–19 | 12–17 | – | #253 of 353 · -5.81 |
| 2017–18 | 18–14 | – | #218 of 351 · 18.41 |
| 2016–17 | 10–22 | – | #318 of 351 · -40.24 |
| 2015–16 | 14–18 | – | #284 of 351 · -18.10 |
| 2014–15 | 11–21 | – | #312 of 351 · -29.06 |
| 2013–14 | 7–25 | – | #333 of 351 · -62.94 |
| 2012–13 | 12–20 | – | #240 of 347 · -1.97 |
| 2011–12 | 18–17 | – | #229 of 345 · 10.21 |
| 2010–11 | 21–13 | – | #210 of 346 · 21.19 |
| 2009–10 | 17–16 | – | #212 of 335 · 13.93 |
| 2008–09 | 17–16 | – | #195 of 330 · 23.12 |
| 2007–08 | 11–21 | – | #282 of 328 · -22.63 |
| 2006–07 | 9–21 | – | #314 of 326 · -51.20 |
| 2005–06 | 15–15 | – | #276 of 326 · -15.15 |
| 2004–05 | 13–17 | – | #296 of 326 · -32.09 |