The MRI
2025–26 · Final

California

ACC · 22–12

Power+7.1#88 of 365
Résumé+8.07#65 · wins above average
Trendrating by week
Best winNorth Carolina (84–78)
Worst lossSaint Joseph's (75–76)
Schedule faced+3.9 avg opponent

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerf
1 vs Cal State Bakersfield W 87–60 +24.6 +2.4
1 vs Wright State W 77–67 +7.6 +2.4
2 vs Cal State Fullerton W 93–65 +14.3 +13.7
2 at Kansas State L 96–99 -0.6 -2.4
3 vs Presbyterian W 67–57 +16.0 -6.0
3 vs Sacramento State W 91–67 +20.2 +3.8
4 N UCLA W 80–72 -10.0 +18.0
5 vs Utah W 79–72 +6.9 +0.1
5 vs Pacific W 67–61 +9.5 -3.5
6 vs Dominican (CA) non-D1 W 93–71 +47.7 -25.7
6 vs Northwestern State W 79–70 +20.4 -11.4
7 vs Morgan State W 97–50 +25.8 +21.2
7 vs Columbia W 74–56 +11.0 +7.0
9 vs Louisville L 70–90 -10.1 -9.9
9 vs Notre Dame W 72–71 +4.8 -3.8
10 at Virginia L 60–84 -13.9 -10.1
10 at Virginia Tech L 75–78 -4.6 +1.6
11 vs Duke L 56–71 -22.0 +7.0
11 vs North Carolina W 84–78 -7.9 +13.9
12 at Stanford W 78–66 -4.7 +16.7
13 at Florida State L 61–63 -4.4 +2.4
13 at Miami W 86–85 -9.2 +10.2
14 vs Georgia Tech W 90–85 +11.0 -6.0
14 vs Clemson L 55–77 -6.1 -15.9
15 at Syracuse L 100–107 -1.7 -5.3
15 at Boston College W 86–75 +5.9 +5.1
16 vs Stanford W 72–66 +0.8 +5.2
17 vs SMU W 73–69 -4.2 +8.2
17 vs Pittsburgh L 56–72 +4.2 -20.2
18 at Georgia Tech W 76–65 +5.5 +5.5
18 at Wake Forest L 73–80 -4.5 -2.5
19 N Florida State L 89–95 -1.6 -4.4
20 vs UIC W 91–73 +5.8 +12.2
21 vs Saint Joseph's L 75–76 +5.5 -6.5

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
Season complete.

Season by season

Best finish: #12 in 2009–10. 22 rated seasons. Two ratings appear here and their numbers are not comparable; the rank is. Season links open that year's game log.

25ClassicMRI 2.0 1 400 2004–05: #167 of 326 (13-16)2005–06: #71 of 326 (20-11)2006–07: #113 of 326 (16-17)2007–08: #121 of 328 (17-16)2008–09: #52 of 330 (22-11)2009–10: #12 of 335 (24-11)2010–11: #116 of 346 (18-15)2011–12: #26 of 345 (24-10)2012–13: #74 of 347 (20-11)2013–14: #71 of 351 (21-14)2014–15: #145 of 351 (18-15)2015–16: #28 of 351 (23-11)2016–17: #49 of 351 (21-12)2017–18: #289 of 351 (8-23)2018–19: #305 of 353 (8-23)2019–20: #213 of 353 (14-18)2020–21: #183 of 347 (9-20)2021–22: #170 of 358 (12-20)2022–23: #284 of 363 (3-29)2023–24: #167 of 362 (13-19)2024–25: #140 of 364 (14-19)2025–26: #88 of 365 (22-12) 2004–05 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Each row below says what its rank was out of. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRankRec Rating 
2025–26 88 of 365 22–12 7.07 Power
2024–25 140 of 364 14–19 1.75 Power
2023–24 167 of 362 13–19 -0.08 Power
2022–23 284 of 363 3–29 -7.72 Power
2021–22 170 of 358 12–20 0.30 Power
2020–21 183 of 347 9–20 -1.22 Power
2019–20 213 of 353 14–18 13.89 MRI
2018–19 305 of 353 8–23 -33.74 MRI
2017–18 289 of 351 8–23 -18.12 MRI
2016–17 49 of 351 21–12 103.72 MRI
2015–16 28 of 351 23–11 130.37 MRI
2014–15 145 of 351 18–15 48.13 MRI
2013–14 71 of 351 21–14 85.44 MRI
2012–13 74 of 347 20–11 77.01 MRI
2011–12 26 of 345 24–10 133.28 MRI
2010–11 116 of 346 18–15 61.03 MRI
2009–10 12 of 335 24–11 155.40 MRI
2008–09 52 of 330 22–11 102.58 MRI
2007–08 121 of 328 17–16 57.04 MRI
2006–07 113 of 326 16–17 58.82 MRI
2005–06 71 of 326 20–11 86.49 MRI
2004–05 167 of 326 13–16 30.41 MRI