Radford
Big South · 0–3
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -15.8 avg | × 27% | -4.3 |
| Opponents faced | +11.8 avg | × 27% | +3.2 |
| Preseason prior | -6.2 | × 73% | -4.5 |
| Power | -5.6 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | San Francisco | L 62–76 | -9.3 | -4.7 | -1.0 |
| 2 | at | California | L 70–84 | -14.6 | +0.6 | -0.6 |
| 3 | at | Tennessee | L 47–70 | -37.0 | +14.0 | +0.5 |
| Preseason prior (73% of the rating) | -4.5 | |||||
| Power | -5.6 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs | Shenandoah non-D1 | +30.6 | 100% |
| 4 | vs | Furman | -6.6 | 28% |
| 4 | at | Chattanooga | -5.2 | 32% |
| 5 | at | American University | -7.7 | 24% |
| 5 | N | Hampton | +3.0 | 61% |
| 5 | N | UMass Lowell | +1.0 | 54% |
| 10 | at | Maryland | -19.0 | 4% |
Season by season
Best finish: #92 in 2018–19. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 16–16 | #218 of 365 · -4.34 | – |
| 2024–25 | 20–13 | #169 of 364 · -0.41 | – |
| 2023–24 | 16–17 | #189 of 362 · -2.23 | – |
| 2022–23 | 21–15 | #164 of 363 · 0.19 | – |
| 2021–22 | 11–18 | #275 of 358 · -7.42 | – |
| 2020–21 | 15–12 | #200 of 347 · -2.53 | – |
| 2019–20 | 19–11 | – | #121 of 353 · 53.86 |
| 2018–19 | 19–11 | – | #92 of 353 · 67.48 |
| 2017–18 | 23–13 | – | #114 of 351 · 63.92 |
| 2016–17 | 14–18 | – | #245 of 351 · 4.00 |
| 2015–16 | 16–15 | – | #194 of 351 · 24.84 |
| 2014–15 | 22–12 | – | #127 of 351 · 55.21 |
| 2013–14 | 22–13 | – | #198 of 351 · 27.43 |
| 2012–13 | 10–19 | – | #258 of 347 · -15.78 |
| 2011–12 | 6–25 | – | #301 of 345 · -32.94 |
| 2010–11 | 5–24 | – | #332 of 346 · -67.07 |
| 2009–10 | 19–12 | – | #116 of 335 · 60.96 |
| 2008–09 | 21–12 | – | #115 of 330 · 59.05 |
| 2007–08 | 10–20 | – | #301 of 328 · -38.70 |
| 2006–07 | 8–22 | – | #283 of 326 · -26.59 |
| 2005–06 | 16–13 | – | #202 of 326 · 20.03 |
| 2004–05 | 12–16 | – | #262 of 326 · -8.80 |