Dartmouth
Ivy · 3–1
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +15.7 avg | × 33% | +5.2 |
| Opponents faced | -13.8 avg | × 33% | -4.6 |
| Preseason prior | -8.5 | × 67% | -5.6 |
| Power | -5.0 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | Marist | W 69–62 | -2.4 | +9.4 | +1.1 |
| 2 | vs | Framingham State non-D1 | W 107–50 | +31.1 | +25.9 | +1.2 |
| 2 | vs | Central Connecticut | L 71–78 | +6.6 | -13.6 | -2.3 |
| 3 | at | UAlbany | W 85–76 | +6.6 | +2.4 | +0.6 |
| Preseason prior (67% of the rating) | -5.6 | |||||
| Power | -5.0 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | Boston University | -1.3 | 45% |
| 4 | vs | Maine-Augusta non-D1 | +31.1 | 100% |
| 5 | vs | Holy Cross | +14.3 | 90% |
| 5 | at | App State | -6.3 | 28% |
| 12 | at | Pennsylvania | -8.5 | 22% |
| 14 | vs | Brown | +7.0 | 74% |
| 16 | at | Brown | +1.1 | 54% |
| 18 | vs | Pennsylvania | -2.6 | 41% |
Season by season
Best finish: #181 in 2014–15. 21 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 11–16 | #249 of 365 · -6.19 | – |
| 2024–25 | 14–14 | #217 of 364 · -3.57 | – |
| 2023–24 | 6–21 | #333 of 362 · -13.26 | – |
| 2022–23 | 10–18 | #299 of 363 · -8.80 | – |
| 2021–22 | 9–16 | #300 of 358 · -9.79 | – |
| 2019–20 | 11–17 | – | #220 of 353 · 7.74 |
| 2018–19 | 9–19 | – | #222 of 353 · 5.95 |
| 2017–18 | 7–20 | – | #304 of 351 · -28.19 |
| 2016–17 | 7–20 | – | #307 of 351 · -29.58 |
| 2015–16 | 10–18 | – | #203 of 351 · 21.20 |
| 2014–15 | 14–15 | – | #181 of 351 · 32.02 |
| 2013–14 | 12–16 | – | #203 of 351 · 24.78 |
| 2012–13 | 8–19 | – | #296 of 347 · -30.35 |
| 2011–12 | 5–26 | – | #290 of 345 · -24.34 |
| 2010–11 | 5–23 | – | #335 of 346 · -70.78 |
| 2009–10 | 5–23 | – | #327 of 335 · -74.85 |
| 2008–09 | 9–19 | – | #294 of 330 · -37.08 |
| 2007–08 | 10–18 | – | #304 of 328 · -40.18 |
| 2006–07 | 9–18 | – | #275 of 326 · -20.37 |
| 2005–06 | 6–21 | – | #292 of 326 · -29.83 |
| 2004–05 | 10–16 | – | #290 of 326 · -26.92 |