The MRI
2026–27 · Week 3

Brown

Ivy · 1–3

Power-9.1#281 of 365
Résumé-2.20#521 · wins above average
Movement-32down from #249 last week
Best winLehigh (65–55)
Worst lossCanisius (81–86)
Schedule faced-10.7 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-6.0 avg opponent
Returning production81% of last season's win shares · #6 of 364
Incoming production0.0 win shares from other schools' players

How this rating is built

Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.

PartValueWeightAdds
Margin counted-5.8 avg× 33%-1.9
Opponents faced-10.7 avg× 33%-3.6
Preseason prior-5.4× 67%-3.6
Power-9.1

This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerfAdds
2 vs New Hampshire L 55–59 +3.6 -7.6 -2.0
2 vs Boston University L 67–72 +0.5 -5.5 -1.9
2 at Lehigh W 65–55 -3.3 +13.3 +1.2
3 vs Canisius L 81–86 +11.4 -16.4 -2.8
Preseason prior (67% of the rating)-3.6
Power-9.1

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 at Siena -10.4 17%
4 at Holy Cross +4.4 65%
4 at Vermont -9.1 20%
5 vs Johnson & Wales (RI) non-D1 +27.1 99%
5 at Air Force -1.3 45%
6 at Rhode Island -16.1 7%
6 at Bryant +2.0 57%
6 N Central Connecticut -0.4 49%

Season by season

Best finish: #128 in 2018–19. 21 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.

25 1 400 2004–05 (MRI Classic): #253 of 326 (11-16)2005–06 (MRI Classic): #277 of 326 (10-17)2006–07 (MRI Classic): #254 of 326 (11-18)2007–08 (MRI Classic): #135 of 328 (19-10)2008–09 (MRI Classic): #293 of 330 (9-19)2009–10 (MRI Classic): #302 of 335 (11-20)2010–11 (MRI Classic): #260 of 346 (11-17)2011–12 (MRI Classic): #315 of 345 (8-23)2012–13 (MRI Classic): #238 of 347 (12-15)2013–14 (MRI Classic): #155 of 351 (15-14)2014–15 (MRI Classic): #285 of 351 (13-18)2015–16 (MRI Classic): #286 of 351 (8-20)2016–17 (MRI Classic): #256 of 351 (13-17)2017–18 (MRI Classic): #247 of 351 (11-16)2018–19 (MRI Classic): #128 of 353 (18-12)2019–20 (MRI Classic): #199 of 353 (14-12)2021–22 (MRI 2.0): #291 of 358 (13-16)2022–23 (MRI 2.0): #221 of 363 (14-13)2023–24 (MRI 2.0): #197 of 362 (13-18)2024–25 (MRI 2.0): #208 of 364 (14-13)2025–26 (MRI 2.0): #272 of 365 (9-18) MRI 2.0Classic 2004–05 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRec MRI 2.0MRI Classic
2025–26 9–18 #272 of 365 · -7.76 –
2024–25 14–13 #208 of 364 · -3.10 –
2023–24 13–18 #197 of 362 · -2.62 –
2022–23 14–13 #221 of 363 · -3.39 –
2021–22 13–16 #291 of 358 · -8.58 –
2019–20 14–12 – #199 of 353 · 19.31
2018–19 18–12 – #128 of 353 · 50.45
2017–18 11–16 – #247 of 351 · 4.98
2016–17 13–17 – #256 of 351 · -2.44
2015–16 8–20 – #286 of 351 · -19.53
2014–15 13–18 – #285 of 351 · -15.86
2013–14 15–14 – #155 of 351 · 43.20
2012–13 12–15 – #238 of 347 · -1.38
2011–12 8–23 – #315 of 345 · -49.90
2010–11 11–17 – #260 of 346 · -6.60
2009–10 11–20 – #302 of 335 · -35.73
2008–09 9–19 – #293 of 330 · -32.32
2007–08 19–10 – #135 of 328 · 51.03
2006–07 11–18 – #254 of 326 · -9.28
2005–06 10–17 – #277 of 326 · -15.73
2004–05 11–16 – #253 of 326 · -6.96