The MRI
2026–27 · Week 3

Florida International

CUSA · 2–0

Power-2.4#176 of 365
Résumé+0.09#174 · wins above average
Movement+5up from #181 last week
Best winWest Florida (85–75)
Schedule faced-23.5 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-1.8 avg opponent
Returning production0% of last season's win shares · #335 of 364 · counted against its preseason rating
Incoming production10.5 win shares from other schools' players
Recruiting class#59 in the country

How this rating is built

Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 2 games, w is 20%, so the preseason prior is 80% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.

PartValueWeightAdds
Margin counted+21.7 avg× 20%+4.3
Opponents faced-23.5 avg× 20%-4.7
Preseason prior-2.6× 80%-2.0
Power-2.4

This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerfAdds
2 vs New College (FL) non-D1 W 101–58 +33.7 +9.3 +0.5
2 vs West Florida W 85–75 +15.9 -5.9 -0.9
Preseason prior (80% of the rating)-2.0
Power-2.4

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 at Florida Gulf Coast -0.6 48%
4 at UAB -4.6 34%
5 vs Long Beach State +9.3 80%
5 vs Southern Utah +6.8 73%
5 vs Arkansas State +3.6 63%
7 at Xavier -21.6 2%
10 at New Mexico State -2.1 42%
10 at Sam Houston -4.7 33%

Season by season

Best finish: #160 in 2012–13. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.

25 1 400 2004–05 (MRI Classic): #180 of 326 (13-16)2005–06 (MRI Classic): #295 of 326 (8-20)2006–07 (MRI Classic): #271 of 326 (12-17)2007–08 (MRI Classic): #246 of 328 (9-20)2008–09 (MRI Classic): #279 of 330 (13-20)2009–10 (MRI Classic): #314 of 335 (7-25)2010–11 (MRI Classic): #266 of 346 (11-19)2011–12 (MRI Classic): #255 of 345 (8-21)2012–13 (MRI Classic): #160 of 347 (18-14)2013–14 (MRI Classic): #225 of 351 (15-16)2014–15 (MRI Classic): #276 of 351 (16-17)2015–16 (MRI Classic): #214 of 351 (13-19)2016–17 (MRI Classic): #278 of 351 (7-24)2017–18 (MRI Classic): #225 of 351 (14-18)2018–19 (MRI Classic): #239 of 353 (16-14)2019–20 (MRI Classic): #189 of 353 (16-13)2020–21 (MRI 2.0): #255 of 347 (9-17)2021–22 (MRI 2.0): #260 of 358 (15-17)2022–23 (MRI 2.0): #235 of 363 (14-18)2023–24 (MRI 2.0): #274 of 362 (11-22)2024–25 (MRI 2.0): #277 of 364 (10-23)2025–26 (MRI 2.0): #204 of 365 (15-17) MRI 2.0Classic 2004–05 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRec MRI 2.0MRI Classic
2025–26 15–17 #204 of 365 · -2.97 –
2024–25 10–23 #277 of 364 · -7.81 –
2023–24 11–22 #274 of 362 · -6.75 –
2022–23 14–18 #235 of 363 · -4.48 –
2021–22 15–17 #260 of 358 · -6.17 –
2020–21 9–17 #255 of 347 · -6.20 –
2019–20 16–13 – #189 of 353 · 26.53
2018–19 16–14 – #239 of 353 · -0.29
2017–18 14–18 – #225 of 351 · 14.03
2016–17 7–24 – #278 of 351 · -11.67
2015–16 13–19 – #214 of 351 · 13.28
2014–15 16–17 – #276 of 351 · -9.26
2013–14 15–16 – #225 of 351 · 14.15
2012–13 18–14 – #160 of 347 · 35.11
2011–12 8–21 – #255 of 345 · -5.91
2010–11 11–19 – #266 of 346 · -8.93
2009–10 7–25 – #314 of 335 · -52.60
2008–09 13–20 – #279 of 330 · -16.97
2007–08 9–20 – #246 of 328 · -6.33
2006–07 12–17 – #271 of 326 · -17.33
2005–06 8–20 – #295 of 326 · -33.09
2004–05 13–16 – #180 of 326 · 25.56