The MRI
2025–26 · Final

Arkansas State

Sun Belt · 20–12

Power+3.9#120 of 365
Résumé+0.53#157 · wins above average
Trendrating by week
Best winNorth Dakota State (85–80)
Worst lossGeorgia State (81–82)
Schedule faced-5.1 avg opponent

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the number that moves a rating, rather than the win or loss alone.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerf
1 at Ohio W 89–85 +5.0 -1.0
1 at Stephen F. Austin L 65–90 -3.3 -21.7
2 at Missouri State W 86–85 +3.9 -2.9
2 vs Christian Brothers non-D1 W 95–67 +44.5 -16.5
3 at Saint Mary's L 72–85 -17.7 +4.7
3 at SMU L 69–100 -12.8 -18.2
4 vs Jacksonville State W 74–63 +7.5 +3.5
4 vs North Dakota State W 85–80 +1.4 +3.6
5 vs UT Arlington W 83–63 +7.2 +12.8
5 at Little Rock W 90–78 +10.6 +1.4
6 at Rice L 76–77 +6.4 -7.4
7 at Texas State W 89–70 +5.6 +13.4
7 at Southern Miss W 93–86 +5.2 +1.8
9 vs Arkansas Tech non-D1 W 107–63 +44.5 -0.5
9 vs James Madison L 74–78 +8.6 -12.6
10 vs Troy W 86–74 +3.0 +9.0
10 vs Texas State W 83–82 +11.1 -10.1
11 at South Alabama L 87–91 +1.0 -5.0
11 at Troy L 74–99 -2.5 -22.5
12 at Georgia Southern W 85–68 +6.3 +10.7
12 at Georgia State L 81–82 +11.1 -12.1
13 vs Old Dominion L 71–75 +13.1 -17.1
13 vs Marshall L 61–70 +7.7 -16.7
14 at Coastal Carolina W 70–66 +7.4 -3.4
14 vs Bowling Green W 91–54 +5.9 +31.1
15 vs UL Monroe W 103–70 +25.4 +7.6
15 vs South Alabama L 88–92 +6.5 -10.4
16 at Louisiana W 79–62 +13.1 +3.9
16 at UL Monroe W 102–94 +19.9 -11.9
17 vs Southern Miss W 89–84 +10.6 -5.6
17 vs Louisiana W 81–58 +18.6 +4.4
18 N Georgia Southern L 77–80 +9.0 -12.0

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
Season complete.

Season by season

Best finish: #77 in 2024–25. 22 rated seasons. Two ratings appear here and their numbers are not comparable; the rank is. Season links open that year's game log.

25ClassicMRI 2.0 1 400 2004–05: #134 of 326 (16-13)2005–06: #232 of 326 (12-18)2006–07: #192 of 326 (18-15)2007–08: #250 of 328 (10-20)2008–09: #199 of 330 (13-17)2009–10: #163 of 335 (17-14)2010–11: #143 of 346 (17-15)2011–12: #203 of 345 (14-20)2012–13: #94 of 347 (18-12)2013–14: #149 of 351 (19-13)2014–15: #288 of 351 (11-18)2015–16: #260 of 351 (11-20)2016–17: #114 of 351 (20-12)2017–18: #301 of 351 (11-21)2018–19: #265 of 353 (11-19)2019–20: #227 of 353 (14-16)2020–21: #204 of 347 (11-13)2021–22: #176 of 358 (18-11)2022–23: #273 of 363 (13-20)2023–24: #160 of 362 (20-17)2024–25: #77 of 364 (25-11)2025–26: #120 of 365 (20-12) 2004–05 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Each row below says what its rank was out of. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRankRec Rating 
2025–26 120 of 365 20–12 3.87 Power
2024–25 77 of 364 25–11 8.28 Power
2023–24 160 of 362 20–17 1.13 Power
2022–23 273 of 363 13–20 -6.74 Power
2021–22 176 of 358 18–11 -0.11 Power
2020–21 204 of 347 11–13 -2.37 Power
2019–20 227 of 353 14–16 6.15 MRI
2018–19 265 of 353 11–19 -9.20 MRI
2017–18 301 of 351 11–21 -24.40 MRI
2016–17 114 of 351 20–12 62.46 MRI
2015–16 260 of 351 11–20 -10.37 MRI
2014–15 288 of 351 11–18 -16.90 MRI
2013–14 149 of 351 19–13 45.10 MRI
2012–13 94 of 347 18–12 62.66 MRI
2011–12 203 of 345 14–20 19.25 MRI
2010–11 143 of 346 17–15 48.03 MRI
2009–10 163 of 335 17–14 37.64 MRI
2008–09 199 of 330 13–17 22.12 MRI
2007–08 250 of 328 10–20 -7.35 MRI
2006–07 192 of 326 18–15 21.42 MRI
2005–06 232 of 326 12–18 1.91 MRI
2004–05 134 of 326 16–13 43.15 MRI