Southern Utah
Big Sky · 3–1
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +23.8 avg | × 33% | +7.9 |
| Opponents faced | -23.7 avg | × 33% | -7.9 |
| Preseason prior | -9.4 | × 67% | -6.2 |
| Power | -6.2 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs | West Coast Baptist non-D1 | W 134–69 | +29.9 | +35.1 | +0.7 |
| 2 | vs | Grace University non-D1 | W 97–53 | +29.9 | +14.1 | +0.7 |
| 2 | vs | Bethesda University non-D1 | W 143–49 | +29.9 | +64.1 | -0.2 |
| 3 | at | High Point | L 59–88 | -23.1 | -5.9 | -1.2 |
| Preseason prior (67% of the rating) | -6.2 | |||||
| Power | -6.2 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | Wake Forest | -18.5 | 5% |
| 4 | at | Texas | -30.4 | 0% |
| 5 | N | Arkansas State | -3.2 | 39% |
| 5 | at | Florida International | -6.8 | 27% |
| 5 | N | Long Beach State | +2.6 | 59% |
| 6 | vs | Idaho State | +10.3 | 82% |
| 6 | vs | Weber State | +8.9 | 79% |
| 7 | at | San José State | -3.0 | 39% |
Season by season
Best finish: #94 in 2020–21. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 10–22 | #286 of 365 · -9.04 | – |
| 2024–25 | 12–19 | #294 of 364 · -9.18 | – |
| 2023–24 | 10–21 | #236 of 362 · -4.48 | – |
| 2022–23 | 24–13 | #105 of 363 · 4.87 | – |
| 2021–22 | 23–12 | #130 of 358 · 3.20 | – |
| 2020–21 | 20–4 | #94 of 347 · 6.30 | – |
| 2019–20 | 15–15 | – | #157 of 353 · 39.19 |
| 2018–19 | 15–17 | – | #250 of 353 · -4.26 |
| 2017–18 | 13–19 | – | #282 of 351 · -14.60 |
| 2016–17 | 6–27 | – | #336 of 351 · -65.42 |
| 2015–16 | 5–24 | – | #340 of 351 · -69.35 |
| 2014–15 | 10–19 | – | #317 of 351 · -33.26 |
| 2013–14 | 2–27 | – | #351 of 351 · -115.24 |
| 2012–13 | 9–20 | – | #298 of 347 · -31.12 |
| 2011–12 | 13–17 | – | #218 of 345 · 13.78 |
| 2010–11 | 11–19 | – | #263 of 346 · -7.83 |
| 2009–10 | 7–22 | – | #316 of 335 · -55.47 |
| 2008–09 | 11–20 | – | #256 of 330 · -5.00 |
| 2007–08 | 11–19 | – | #210 of 328 · 13.13 |
| 2006–07 | 16–14 | – | #190 of 326 · 21.61 |
| 2005–06 | 10–20 | – | #290 of 326 · -27.41 |
| 2004–05 | 13–14 | – | #285 of 326 · -23.36 |