The MRI
2026–27 · Week 3

Houston Christian

Southland · 3–0

Power-8.5#271 of 365
Résumé+0.29#121 · wins above average
Movement+28up from #299 last week
Best winSouth Dakota (87–76)
Schedule faced-22.6 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-20.1 avg opponent
Returning production17% of last season's win shares · #218 of 364 · counted against its preseason rating
Incoming production4.3 win shares from other schools' players

How this rating is built

Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.

PartValueWeightAdds
Margin counted+25.8 avg× 27%+7.0
Opponents faced-22.6 avg× 27%-6.2
Preseason prior-12.8× 73%-9.3
Power-8.5

This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerfAdds
2 vs Louisiana Christian non-D1 W 108–45 +27.7 +35.3 +0.7
2 N Western Illinois W 74–67 +13.4 -6.4 -1.0
3 at South Dakota W 87–76 +1.1 +9.9 +1.1
Preseason prior (73% of the rating)-9.3
Power-8.5

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 vs College Of Biblical Studies non-D1 +27.7 99%
4 vs Georgia Southern +3.9 64%
5 at UL Monroe +6.2 71%

Season by season

Best finish: #169 in 2016–17. 16 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.

25 1 400 2010–11 (MRI Classic): #337 of 346 (5-26)2011–12 (MRI Classic): #295 of 345 (10-19)2012–13 (MRI Classic): #317 of 347 (11-17)2013–14 (MRI Classic): #334 of 351 (6-25)2014–15 (MRI Classic): #265 of 351 (12-16)2015–16 (MRI Classic): #244 of 351 (17-17)2016–17 (MRI Classic): #169 of 351 (17-14)2017–18 (MRI Classic): #320 of 351 (6-25)2018–19 (MRI Classic): #241 of 353 (10-18)2019–20 (MRI Classic): #344 of 353 (4-25)2020–21 (MRI 2.0): #334 of 347 (6-19)2021–22 (MRI 2.0): #336 of 358 (11-18)2022–23 (MRI 2.0): #355 of 363 (10-22)2023–24 (MRI 2.0): #358 of 362 (6-23)2024–25 (MRI 2.0): #322 of 364 (12-20)2025–26 (MRI 2.0): #316 of 365 (12-20) MRI 2.0Classic 2010–11 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRec MRI 2.0MRI Classic
2025–26 12–20 #316 of 365 · -11.99 –
2024–25 12–20 #322 of 364 · -11.45 –
2023–24 6–23 #358 of 362 · -18.86 –
2022–23 10–22 #355 of 363 · -15.99 –
2021–22 11–18 #336 of 358 · -12.96 –
2020–21 6–19 #334 of 347 · -15.54 –
2019–20 4–25 – #344 of 353 · -81.16
2018–19 10–18 – #241 of 353 · -1.29
2017–18 6–25 – #320 of 351 · -39.43
2016–17 17–14 – #169 of 351 · 38.80
2015–16 17–17 – #244 of 351 · -0.83
2014–15 12–16 – #265 of 351 · -3.22
2013–14 6–25 – #334 of 351 · -63.86
2012–13 11–17 – #317 of 347 · -50.50
2011–12 10–19 – #295 of 345 · -27.02
2010–11 5–26 – #337 of 346 · -77.89