Georgia Southern
Sun Belt · 1–2
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -5.8 avg | × 27% | -1.6 |
| Opponents faced | -2.4 avg | × 27% | -0.7 |
| Preseason prior | -9.8 | × 73% | -7.1 |
| Power | -9.4 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs | Ball State | W 67–55 | +3.1 | +8.9 | +0.0 |
| 2 | at | Georgia Tech | L 83–95 | -16.1 | +4.1 | -0.6 |
| 3 | vs | Mercer | L 91–97 | -5.0 | -1.0 | -1.7 |
| Preseason prior (73% of the rating) | -7.1 | |||||
| Power | -9.4 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | UCF | -22.4 | 2% |
| 4 | vs | Middle Tennessee | -3.8 | 36% |
| 4 | at | Houston Christian | -3.9 | 36% |
| 5 | at | Northern Kentucky | -7.8 | 24% |
| 5 | N | Bellarmine | -0.7 | 47% |
| 5 | at | UNC Asheville | -3.1 | 39% |
| 8 | vs | Coastal Carolina | +2.5 | 59% |
| 8 | at | Arkansas State | -9.3 | 20% |
Season by season
Best finish: #94 in 2014–15. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 21–16 | #243 of 365 · -5.79 | – |
| 2024–25 | 17–16 | #257 of 364 · -6.52 | – |
| 2023–24 | 9–24 | #292 of 362 · -7.85 | – |
| 2022–23 | 17–16 | #207 of 363 · -2.51 | – |
| 2021–22 | 13–16 | #231 of 358 · -4.14 | – |
| 2020–21 | 13–13 | #212 of 347 · -2.96 | – |
| 2019–20 | 18–13 | – | #139 of 353 · 46.27 |
| 2018–19 | 19–12 | – | #102 of 353 · 64.36 |
| 2017–18 | 21–12 | – | #110 of 351 · 64.90 |
| 2016–17 | 18–15 | – | #201 of 351 · 28.09 |
| 2015–16 | 14–17 | – | #206 of 351 · 19.08 |
| 2014–15 | 22–9 | – | #94 of 351 · 73.01 |
| 2013–14 | 15–19 | – | #264 of 351 · -4.10 |
| 2012–13 | 12–19 | – | #270 of 347 · -20.38 |
| 2011–12 | 15–15 | – | #226 of 345 · 11.90 |
| 2010–11 | 5–27 | – | #336 of 346 · -75.57 |
| 2009–10 | 9–23 | – | #320 of 335 · -60.73 |
| 2008–09 | 8–22 | – | #304 of 330 · -40.79 |
| 2007–08 | 20–12 | – | #111 of 328 · 61.78 |
| 2006–07 | 15–16 | – | #189 of 326 · 21.90 |
| 2005–06 | 20–10 | – | #114 of 326 · 55.34 |
| 2004–05 | 18–12 | – | #117 of 326 · 52.47 |