The MRI
2026–27 · Week 3

South Dakota

Summit · 1–3

Power-12.5#320 of 365
Résumé-2.27#523 · wins above average
Movement-26down from #294 last week
Best winMount Marty College (95–57)
Worst lossHouston Christian (76–87)
Schedule faced-12.5 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-7.3 avg opponent
Returning production16% of last season's win shares · #227 of 364 · counted against its preseason rating
Incoming production4.7 win shares from other schools' players
Recruiting class#148 in the country

How this rating is built

Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.

PartValueWeightAdds
Margin counted-5.6 avg× 33%-1.9
Opponents faced-12.5 avg× 33%-4.2
Preseason prior-9.7× 67%-6.4
Power-12.5

This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerfAdds
2 vs Mount Marty College non-D1 W 95–57 +23.7 +14.3 +0.3
2 vs Northern Kentucky L 94–102 -5.0 -3.0 -2.1
2 vs Cal State Fullerton L 85–87 -2.9 +0.9 -1.5
3 vs Houston Christian L 76–87 -1.1 -9.9 -2.8
Preseason prior (67% of the rating)-6.4
Power-12.5

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 at Drake -17.0 6%
3 vs Doane non-D1 +23.7 98%
4 at Nebraska -40.4 0%
4 N Utah Tech -6.4 28%
5 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff +8.9 79%
5 vs Clarke non-D1 +23.7 98%
6 vs Montana State -11.2 16%
11 at Oral Roberts -6.2 28%

Season by season

Best finish: #42 in 2017–18. 16 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.

25 1 400 2010–11 (MRI Classic): #219 of 346 (18-15)2011–12 (MRI Classic): #285 of 345 (10-18)2012–13 (MRI Classic): #261 of 347 (8-20)2013–14 (MRI Classic): #281 of 351 (12-18)2014–15 (MRI Classic): #194 of 351 (17-16)2015–16 (MRI Classic): #234 of 351 (14-18)2016–17 (MRI Classic): #116 of 351 (22-12)2017–18 (MRI Classic): #42 of 351 (26-9)2018–19 (MRI Classic): #240 of 353 (11-17)2019–20 (MRI Classic): #166 of 353 (17-12)2020–21 (MRI 2.0): #152 of 347 (14-11)2021–22 (MRI 2.0): #193 of 358 (19-12)2022–23 (MRI 2.0): #281 of 363 (12-19)2023–24 (MRI 2.0): #315 of 362 (12-20)2024–25 (MRI 2.0): #239 of 364 (19-14)2025–26 (MRI 2.0): #284 of 365 (16-16) MRI 2.0Classic 2010–11 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRec MRI 2.0MRI Classic
2025–26 16–16 #284 of 365 · -8.79 –
2024–25 19–14 #239 of 364 · -5.40 –
2023–24 12–20 #315 of 362 · -10.84 –
2022–23 12–19 #281 of 363 · -7.44 –
2021–22 19–12 #193 of 358 · -1.13 –
2020–21 14–11 #152 of 347 · 0.79 –
2019–20 17–12 – #166 of 353 · 36.97
2018–19 11–17 – #240 of 353 · -0.65
2017–18 26–9 – #42 of 351 · 115.92
2016–17 22–12 – #116 of 351 · 61.31
2015–16 14–18 – #234 of 351 · 4.67
2014–15 17–16 – #194 of 351 · 27.02
2013–14 12–18 – #281 of 351 · -11.84
2012–13 8–20 – #261 of 347 · -16.38
2011–12 10–18 – #285 of 345 · -20.45
2010–11 18–15 – #219 of 346 · 15.50