UL Monroe
Sun Belt · 1–3
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -4.6 avg | × 33% | -1.6 |
| Opponents faced | -5.2 avg | × 33% | -1.7 |
| Preseason prior | -21.5 | × 67% | -14.3 |
| Power | -17.6 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs | Central Michigan | L 78–83 | -8.9 | +3.9 | -1.8 |
| 2 | vs | Champion Christian non-D1 | W 99–55 | +18.5 | +25.5 | -1.1 |
| 3 | at | Texas A&M | L 67–108 | -41.7 | +0.7 | -1.2 |
| 3 | at | TCU | L 92–100 | -33.8 | +25.8 | +0.8 |
| Preseason prior (67% of the rating) | -14.3 | |||||
| Power | -17.6 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | Arizona State | -34.5 | 0% |
| 3 | at | Grand Canyon | -36.0 | 0% |
| 4 | vs | Dallas Christian non-D1 | +18.5 | 95% |
| 4 | at | LSU | -34.9 | 0% |
| 5 | vs | Houston Christian | -6.2 | 29% |
| 5 | at | Tulane | -15.1 | 8% |
| 6 | vs | Georgia State | -8.1 | 23% |
| 8 | vs | Louisiana | -1.8 | 44% |
Season by season
Best finish: #132 in 2018–19. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 4–28 | #359 of 365 · -19.44 | – |
| 2024–25 | 7–25 | #344 of 364 · -15.19 | – |
| 2023–24 | 11–19 | #308 of 362 · -9.70 | – |
| 2022–23 | 11–21 | #289 of 363 · -7.88 | – |
| 2021–22 | 13–18 | #246 of 358 · -5.66 | – |
| 2020–21 | 7–19 | #276 of 347 · -8.06 | – |
| 2019–20 | 7–20 | – | #297 of 353 · -26.58 |
| 2018–19 | 18–16 | – | #132 of 353 · 47.40 |
| 2017–18 | 16–16 | – | #222 of 351 · 15.96 |
| 2016–17 | 9–24 | – | #269 of 351 · -8.08 |
| 2015–16 | 20–14 | – | #140 of 351 · 53.39 |
| 2014–15 | 24–14 | – | #137 of 351 · 50.89 |
| 2013–14 | 10–17 | – | #263 of 351 · -3.57 |
| 2012–13 | 4–23 | – | #327 of 347 · -62.98 |
| 2011–12 | 3–26 | – | #329 of 345 · -67.14 |
| 2010–11 | 7–24 | – | #328 of 346 · -59.02 |
| 2009–10 | 12–19 | – | #274 of 335 · -15.96 |
| 2008–09 | 10–20 | – | #302 of 330 · -38.74 |
| 2007–08 | 10–21 | – | #285 of 328 · -24.00 |
| 2006–07 | 18–14 | – | #253 of 326 · -9.20 |
| 2005–06 | 10–18 | – | #286 of 326 · -21.72 |
| 2004–05 | 7–19 | – | #279 of 326 · -19.65 |