Miami (OH)
MAC · 2–0
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 2 games, w is 20%, so the preseason prior is 80% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +12.2 avg | × 20% | +2.4 |
| Opponents faced | -4.9 avg | × 20% | -1.0 |
| Preseason prior | +7.5 | × 80% | +6.0 |
| Power | +7.4 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | James Madison | W 86–77 | +5.7 | +3.3 | +2.0 |
| 2 | vs | Bellarmine | W 80–73 | +19.0 | -12.0 | -0.6 |
| Preseason prior (80% of the rating) | +6.0 | |||||
| Power | +7.4 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | Evansville | +15.5 | 92% |
| 4 | vs | Defiance non-D1 | +43.6 | 100% |
| 4 | at | UIC | -2.2 | 42% |
| 5 | vs | Eastern Kentucky | +18.2 | 95% |
| 6 | vs | Central Michigan | +16.2 | 93% |
| 6 | at | Buffalo | +10.9 | 84% |
| 7 | at | High Point | -9.5 | 20% |
| 8 | at | Bowling Green | +6.0 | 71% |
Season by season
Best finish: #65 in 2004–05. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 300 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 32–2 | #86 of 365 · 8.34 | – |
| 2024–25 | 25–9 | #152 of 364 · 0.88 | – |
| 2023–24 | 15–17 | #255 of 362 · -5.67 | – |
| 2022–23 | 12–20 | #271 of 363 · -6.95 | – |
| 2021–22 | 14–18 | #218 of 358 · -3.16 | – |
| 2020–21 | 12–11 | #175 of 347 · -0.70 | – |
| 2019–20 | 11–19 | – | #231 of 353 · 4.92 |
| 2018–19 | 13–17 | – | #176 of 353 · 27.83 |
| 2017–18 | 16–18 | – | #206 of 351 · 23.43 |
| 2016–17 | 11–21 | – | #298 of 351 · -25.40 |
| 2015–16 | 13–20 | – | #238 of 351 · 2.60 |
| 2014–15 | 13–19 | – | #255 of 351 · 1.18 |
| 2013–14 | 13–18 | – | #259 of 351 · 0.03 |
| 2012–13 | 8–22 | – | #277 of 347 · -22.67 |
| 2011–12 | 9–21 | – | #252 of 345 · -4.65 |
| 2010–11 | 16–17 | – | #224 of 346 · 11.81 |
| 2009–10 | 14–18 | – | #190 of 335 · 24.52 |
| 2008–09 | 17–13 | – | #109 of 330 · 62.07 |
| 2007–08 | 17–16 | – | #118 of 328 · 58.84 |
| 2006–07 | 18–15 | – | #133 of 326 · 47.71 |
| 2005–06 | 18–11 | – | #111 of 326 · 57.96 |
| 2004–05 | 19–11 | – | #65 of 326 · 83.00 |