High Point
Big South · 4–0
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +18.0 avg | × 33% | +6.0 |
| Opponents faced | -6.1 avg | × 33% | -2.1 |
| Preseason prior | +15.0 | × 67% | +10.0 |
| Power | +13.9 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | N | Liberty | W 72–57 | +12.2 | +2.8 | +2.0 |
| 2 | vs | Maryland Eastern Shore | W 63–49 | +33.2 | -19.2 | -0.4 |
| 2 | vs | Washington State | W 83–71 | +20.6 | -8.6 | +0.5 |
| 3 | vs | Southern Utah | W 88–59 | +23.1 | +5.9 | +1.8 |
| Preseason prior (67% of the rating) | +10.0 | |||||
| Power | +13.9 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | Saint Louis | -7.8 | 24% |
| 4 | vs | Montana State | +15.3 | 92% |
| 5 | N | Duquesne | +16.8 | 94% |
| 5 | vs | The Citadel | +32.7 | 100% |
| 7 | vs | Miami (OH) | +9.5 | 80% |
Season by season
Best finish: #62 in 2025–26. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 31–5 | #62 of 365 · 10.87 | – |
| 2024–25 | 29–6 | #80 of 364 · 8.14 | – |
| 2023–24 | 27–9 | #122 of 362 · 3.43 | – |
| 2022–23 | 14–17 | #283 of 363 · -7.54 | – |
| 2021–22 | 14–18 | #244 of 358 · -5.30 | – |
| 2020–21 | 9–15 | #287 of 347 · -8.69 | – |
| 2019–20 | 7–23 | – | #333 of 353 · -59.01 |
| 2018–19 | 14–15 | – | #197 of 353 · 19.99 |
| 2017–18 | 14–16 | – | #171 of 351 · 39.28 |
| 2016–17 | 15–16 | – | #217 of 351 · 17.61 |
| 2015–16 | 21–11 | – | #108 of 351 · 67.64 |
| 2014–15 | 23–10 | – | #102 of 351 · 68.70 |
| 2013–14 | 16–15 | – | #223 of 351 · 15.43 |
| 2012–13 | 15–13 | – | #164 of 347 · 34.08 |
| 2011–12 | 13–18 | – | #227 of 345 · 11.43 |
| 2010–11 | 12–19 | – | #294 of 346 · -24.04 |
| 2009–10 | 15–15 | – | #234 of 335 · 6.11 |
| 2008–09 | 9–21 | – | #277 of 330 · -15.83 |
| 2007–08 | 17–14 | – | #140 of 328 · 46.15 |
| 2006–07 | 22–10 | – | #123 of 326 · 53.71 |
| 2005–06 | 16–13 | – | #192 of 326 · 23.70 |
| 2004–05 | 13–17 | – | #144 of 326 · 39.86 |