UIC
MVC · 3–0
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +22.8 avg | × 27% | +6.2 |
| Opponents faced | -14.2 avg | × 27% | -3.9 |
| Preseason prior | +5.9 | × 73% | +4.3 |
| Power | +6.6 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs | St. Francis (IL) non-D1 | W 96–47 | +42.8 | +6.2 | +0.7 |
| 2 | vs | Robert Morris | W 79–56 | +12.9 | +10.1 | +1.8 |
| 3 | vs | UNC Greensboro | W 82–72 | +18.4 | -8.4 | -0.2 |
| Preseason prior (73% of the rating) | +4.3 | |||||
| Power | +6.6 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | Saint Mary's | -11.0 | 16% |
| 4 | vs | Chicago State | +24.2 | 99% |
| 4 | vs | Miami (OH) | +2.2 | 58% |
| 5 | N | Rice | +14.3 | 90% |
| 5 | vs | Canisius | +27.1 | 99% |
Season by season
Best finish: #118 in 2025–26. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 19–16 | #118 of 365 · 3.39 | – |
| 2024–25 | 17–14 | #170 of 364 · -0.43 | – |
| 2023–24 | 12–21 | #232 of 362 · -4.32 | – |
| 2022–23 | 12–20 | #304 of 363 · -9.05 | – |
| 2021–22 | 14–16 | #272 of 358 · -7.19 | – |
| 2020–21 | 9–13 | #289 of 347 · -8.77 | – |
| 2019–20 | 17–17 | – | #198 of 353 · 20.79 |
| 2018–19 | 14–16 | – | #238 of 353 · -0.12 |
| 2017–18 | 20–16 | – | #181 of 351 · 33.42 |
| 2016–17 | 17–19 | – | #238 of 351 · 8.27 |
| 2015–16 | 5–25 | – | #343 of 351 · -75.28 |
| 2014–15 | 10–24 | – | #283 of 351 · -15.35 |
| 2013–14 | 6–25 | – | #296 of 351 · -23.48 |
| 2012–13 | 16–15 | – | #173 of 347 · 25.82 |
| 2011–12 | 8–22 | – | #298 of 345 · -28.57 |
| 2010–11 | 7–24 | – | #290 of 346 · -21.15 |
| 2009–10 | 8–22 | – | #297 of 335 · -32.37 |
| 2008–09 | 16–15 | – | #137 of 330 · 48.02 |
| 2007–08 | 18–15 | – | #120 of 328 · 57.68 |
| 2006–07 | 14–18 | – | #172 of 326 · 29.00 |
| 2005–06 | 16–15 | – | #147 of 326 · 39.31 |
| 2004–05 | 14–14 | – | #125 of 326 · 48.80 |