The MRI
2026–27 · Week 3

Sacred Heart

Metro · 2–2

Power-9.8#292 of 365
Résumé-1.38#502 · wins above average
Movement-13down from #279 last week
Best winNew Hampshire (81–76)
Worst lossMaine (72–74)
Schedule faced-14.7 avg opponent
Schedule ahead+2.9 avg opponent
Returning production8% of last season's win shares · #286 of 364 · counted against its preseason rating
Incoming production2.4 win shares from other schools' players

How this rating is built

Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.

PartValueWeightAdds
Margin counted+8.1 avg× 33%+2.7
Opponents faced-14.7 avg× 33%-4.9
Preseason prior-11.5× 67%-7.6
Power-9.8

This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerfAdds
2 vs Coast Guard non-D1 W 111–44 +26.3 +40.7 +1.3
2 vs Maine L 72–74 +6.2 -8.2 -2.1
2 at New Hampshire W 81–76 -3.0 +8.1 +0.5
3 vs Central Connecticut L 75–79 +1.8 -5.8 -1.9
Preseason prior (67% of the rating)-7.6
Power-9.8

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
4 at Providence -25.3 1%
5 at Rutgers -22.2 2%
5 vs NJIT +10.2 82%
8 at Georgetown -19.6 4%

Season by season

Best finish: #131 in 2019–20. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.

25 1 400 2004–05 (MRI Classic): #310 of 326 (4-23)2005–06 (MRI Classic): #218 of 326 (12-17)2006–07 (MRI Classic): #150 of 326 (18-14)2007–08 (MRI Classic): #203 of 328 (18-14)2008–09 (MRI Classic): #165 of 330 (17-14)2009–10 (MRI Classic): #227 of 335 (14-15)2010–11 (MRI Classic): #274 of 346 (11-18)2011–12 (MRI Classic): #242 of 345 (12-18)2012–13 (MRI Classic): #280 of 347 (9-20)2013–14 (MRI Classic): #323 of 351 (5-26)2014–15 (MRI Classic): #201 of 351 (15-17)2015–16 (MRI Classic): #268 of 351 (12-18)2016–17 (MRI Classic): #283 of 351 (13-19)2017–18 (MRI Classic): #272 of 351 (10-21)2018–19 (MRI Classic): #192 of 353 (14-17)2019–20 (MRI Classic): #131 of 353 (19-13)2020–21 (MRI 2.0): #294 of 347 (9-9)2021–22 (MRI 2.0): #302 of 358 (10-20)2022–23 (MRI 2.0): #311 of 363 (16-17)2023–24 (MRI 2.0): #290 of 362 (16-16)2024–25 (MRI 2.0): #268 of 364 (15-18)2025–26 (MRI 2.0): #281 of 365 (14-19) MRI 2.0Classic 2004–05 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRec MRI 2.0MRI Classic
2025–26 14–19 #281 of 365 · -8.53 –
2024–25 15–18 #268 of 364 · -7.06 –
2023–24 16–16 #290 of 362 · -7.84 –
2022–23 16–17 #311 of 363 · -9.74 –
2021–22 10–20 #302 of 358 · -9.95 –
2020–21 9–9 #294 of 347 · -8.98 –
2019–20 19–13 – #131 of 353 · 49.07
2018–19 14–17 – #192 of 353 · 22.36
2017–18 10–21 – #272 of 351 · -8.60
2016–17 13–19 – #283 of 351 · -13.01
2015–16 12–18 – #268 of 351 · -12.24
2014–15 15–17 – #201 of 351 · 24.18
2013–14 5–26 – #323 of 351 · -43.10
2012–13 9–20 – #280 of 347 · -23.89
2011–12 12–18 – #242 of 345 · 2.61
2010–11 11–18 – #274 of 346 · -13.58
2009–10 14–15 – #227 of 335 · 8.16
2008–09 17–14 – #165 of 330 · 34.88
2007–08 18–14 – #203 of 328 · 15.89
2006–07 18–14 – #150 of 326 · 38.58
2005–06 12–17 – #218 of 326 · 11.92
2004–05 4–23 – #310 of 326 · -47.64