NJIT
Am. East · 1–4
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 5 games, w is 38%, so the preseason prior is 62% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -25.1 avg | × 38% | -9.7 |
| Opponents faced | +2.4 avg | × 38% | +0.9 |
| Preseason prior | -13.6 | × 62% | -8.3 |
| Power | -17.1 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | Dayton | L 58–89 | -24.1 | -6.9 | -2.0 |
| 2 | at | Iona | L 49–72 | -15.0 | -8.0 | -2.2 |
| 2 | vs | Saint Peter's | W 54–52 | -2.1 | +4.1 | -1.3 |
| 3 | at | Rutgers | L 64–101 | -29.4 | -7.6 | -1.9 |
| 3 | at | VCU | L 49–87 | -35.6 | -2.4 | -1.4 |
| Preseason prior (62% of the rating) | -8.3 | |||||
| Power | -17.1 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | Fairfield | -12.0 | 14% |
| 4 | at | Fairleigh Dickinson | -7.2 | 26% |
| 4 | at | Boston College | -27.0 | 1% |
| 5 | vs | Manhattan | -0.1 | 50% |
| 5 | at | Sacred Heart | -10.2 | 18% |
| 10 | at | UMBC | -14.2 | 10% |
| 11 | at | Maine | -6.9 | 26% |
| 11 | at | New Hampshire | -10.3 | 18% |
Season by season
Best finish: #164 in 2018–19. 17 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 16–17 | #330 of 365 · -13.20 | – |
| 2024–25 | 6–25 | #351 of 364 · -15.97 | – |
| 2023–24 | 7–21 | #338 of 362 · -14.15 | – |
| 2022–23 | 7–23 | #329 of 363 · -11.86 | – |
| 2021–22 | 11–18 | #330 of 358 · -12.52 | – |
| 2020–21 | 7–12 | #280 of 347 · -8.45 | – |
| 2019–20 | 8–21 | – | #289 of 353 · -22.09 |
| 2018–19 | 21–13 | – | #164 of 353 · 33.07 |
| 2017–18 | 14–16 | – | #194 of 351 · 26.61 |
| 2016–17 | 11–20 | – | #259 of 351 · -4.03 |
| 2015–16 | 20–15 | – | #170 of 351 · 38.92 |
| 2014–15 | 21–12 | – | #167 of 351 · 36.71 |
| 2013–14 | 13–16 | – | #285 of 351 · -12.55 |
| 2012–13 | 12–13 | – | #201 of 347 · 18.73 |
| 2011–12 | 13–17 | – | #251 of 345 · -4.59 |
| 2010–11 | 15–15 | – | #246 of 346 · -1.36 |
| 2009–10 | 10–21 | – | #317 of 335 · -56.15 |