The MRI
2026–27 · Week 3

Maine

Am. East · 1–3

Power-13.1#326 of 365
Résumé-1.02#479 · wins above average
Movement+14up from #340 last week
Best winSacred Heart (74–72)
Worst lossManhattan (62–68)
Schedule faced-1.8 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-9.2 avg opponent
Returning production20% of last season's win shares · #197 of 364 · counted against its preseason rating
Incoming production1.7 win shares from other schools' players

How this rating is built

Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.

PartValueWeightAdds
Margin counted-8.4 avg× 33%-2.8
Opponents faced-1.8 avg× 33%-0.6
Preseason prior-14.6× 67%-9.7
Power-13.1

This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerfAdds
2 at Providence L 56–83 -28.6 +1.6 -1.2
2 at Sacred Heart W 74–72 -6.2 +8.2 +0.1
2 vs Manhattan L 62–68 +3.8 -9.8 -2.6
3 at Rhode Island L 65–71 -20.2 +14.2 +0.3
Preseason prior (67% of the rating)-9.7
Power-13.1

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 vs Drexel -2.5 41%
4 at Quinnipiac -11.1 16%
4 at Massachusetts -13.8 10%
5 N Le Moyne -2.0 43%
5 at Lafayette -5.3 32%
5 N Niagara +4.7 67%
7 at DePaul -25.2 1%
10 at Brown -7.0 26%

Season by season

Best finish: #178 in 2009–10. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.

25 1 400 2004–05 (MRI Classic): #226 of 326 (13-15)2005–06 (MRI Classic): #299 of 326 (12-16)2006–07 (MRI Classic): #265 of 326 (12-18)2007–08 (MRI Classic): #319 of 328 (7-23)2008–09 (MRI Classic): #287 of 330 (9-21)2009–10 (MRI Classic): #178 of 335 (19-11)2010–11 (MRI Classic): #190 of 346 (15-15)2011–12 (MRI Classic): #254 of 345 (12-17)2012–13 (MRI Classic): #275 of 347 (10-19)2013–14 (MRI Classic): #348 of 351 (6-23)2014–15 (MRI Classic): #346 of 351 (3-27)2015–16 (MRI Classic): #332 of 351 (8-22)2016–17 (MRI Classic): #340 of 351 (7-25)2017–18 (MRI Classic): #341 of 351 (6-26)2018–19 (MRI Classic): #335 of 353 (4-27)2019–20 (MRI Classic): #311 of 353 (8-22)2020–21 (MRI 2.0): #331 of 347 (2-7)2021–22 (MRI 2.0): #346 of 358 (6-23)2022–23 (MRI 2.0): #294 of 363 (13-17)2023–24 (MRI 2.0): #228 of 362 (15-17)2024–25 (MRI 2.0): #179 of 364 (20-14)2025–26 (MRI 2.0): #329 of 365 (8-24) MRI 2.0Classic 2004–05 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRec MRI 2.0MRI Classic
2025–26 8–24 #329 of 365 · -13.16 –
2024–25 20–14 #179 of 364 · -1.14 –
2023–24 15–17 #228 of 362 · -4.19 –
2022–23 13–17 #294 of 363 · -8.24 –
2021–22 6–23 #346 of 358 · -15.72 –
2020–21 2–7 #331 of 347 · -14.07 –
2019–20 8–22 – #311 of 353 · -39.80
2018–19 4–27 – #335 of 353 · -69.01
2017–18 6–26 – #341 of 351 · -71.56
2016–17 7–25 – #340 of 351 · -71.48
2015–16 8–22 – #332 of 351 · -57.51
2014–15 3–27 – #346 of 351 · -94.41
2013–14 6–23 – #348 of 351 · -81.25
2012–13 10–19 – #275 of 347 · -22.10
2011–12 12–17 – #254 of 345 · -5.62
2010–11 15–15 – #190 of 346 · 27.98
2009–10 19–11 – #178 of 335 · 31.96
2008–09 9–21 – #287 of 330 · -24.62
2007–08 7–23 – #319 of 328 · -63.94
2006–07 12–18 – #265 of 326 · -14.03
2005–06 12–16 – #299 of 326 · -38.14
2004–05 13–15 – #226 of 326 · 9.42