Maine
Am. East · 1–3
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -8.4 avg | × 33% | -2.8 |
| Opponents faced | -1.8 avg | × 33% | -0.6 |
| Preseason prior | -14.6 | × 67% | -9.7 |
| Power | -13.1 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | Providence | L 56–83 | -28.6 | +1.6 | -1.2 |
| 2 | at | Sacred Heart | W 74–72 | -6.2 | +8.2 | +0.1 |
| 2 | vs | Manhattan | L 62–68 | +3.8 | -9.8 | -2.6 |
| 3 | at | Rhode Island | L 65–71 | -20.2 | +14.2 | +0.3 |
| Preseason prior (67% of the rating) | -9.7 | |||||
| Power | -13.1 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs | Drexel | -2.5 | 41% |
| 4 | at | Quinnipiac | -11.1 | 16% |
| 4 | at | Massachusetts | -13.8 | 10% |
| 5 | N | Le Moyne | -2.0 | 43% |
| 5 | at | Lafayette | -5.3 | 32% |
| 5 | N | Niagara | +4.7 | 67% |
| 7 | at | DePaul | -25.2 | 1% |
| 10 | at | Brown | -7.0 | 26% |
Season by season
Best finish: #178 in 2009–10. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 8–24 | #329 of 365 · -13.16 | – |
| 2024–25 | 20–14 | #179 of 364 · -1.14 | – |
| 2023–24 | 15–17 | #228 of 362 · -4.19 | – |
| 2022–23 | 13–17 | #294 of 363 · -8.24 | – |
| 2021–22 | 6–23 | #346 of 358 · -15.72 | – |
| 2020–21 | 2–7 | #331 of 347 · -14.07 | – |
| 2019–20 | 8–22 | – | #311 of 353 · -39.80 |
| 2018–19 | 4–27 | – | #335 of 353 · -69.01 |
| 2017–18 | 6–26 | – | #341 of 351 · -71.56 |
| 2016–17 | 7–25 | – | #340 of 351 · -71.48 |
| 2015–16 | 8–22 | – | #332 of 351 · -57.51 |
| 2014–15 | 3–27 | – | #346 of 351 · -94.41 |
| 2013–14 | 6–23 | – | #348 of 351 · -81.25 |
| 2012–13 | 10–19 | – | #275 of 347 · -22.10 |
| 2011–12 | 12–17 | – | #254 of 345 · -5.62 |
| 2010–11 | 15–15 | – | #190 of 346 · 27.98 |
| 2009–10 | 19–11 | – | #178 of 335 · 31.96 |
| 2008–09 | 9–21 | – | #287 of 330 · -24.62 |
| 2007–08 | 7–23 | – | #319 of 328 · -63.94 |
| 2006–07 | 12–18 | – | #265 of 326 · -14.03 |
| 2005–06 | 12–16 | – | #299 of 326 · -38.14 |
| 2004–05 | 13–15 | – | #226 of 326 · 9.42 |