The MRI
2026–27 · Week 3

Temple

American · 1–2

Power-3.7#196 of 365
Résumé-0.63#376 · wins above average
Movement-24down from #172 last week
Best winCentral Connecticut (68–56)
Worst lossCharleston (81–91)
Schedule faced+0.1 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-3.5 avg opponent
Returning production36% of last season's win shares · #85 of 364
Incoming production6.5 win shares from other schools' players
Recruiting class#122 in the country

How this rating is built

Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.

PartValueWeightAdds
Margin counted-15.9 avg× 27%-4.3
Opponents faced+0.1 avg× 27%+0.0
Preseason prior+0.8× 73%+0.6
Power-3.7

This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerfAdds
2 vs Central Connecticut W 68–56 +7.9 +4.1 +0.1
2 N Richmond L 53–79 -8.6 -17.4 -2.7
3 vs Charleston L 81–91 -5.1 -4.9 -1.7
Preseason prior (73% of the rating)+0.6
Power-3.7

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 at La Salle -2.1 42%
4 N Middle Tennessee -1.1 46%

Season by season

Best finish: #25 in 2009–10. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.

25 1 250 2004–05 (MRI Classic): #96 of 326 (16-13)2005–06 (MRI Classic): #81 of 326 (17-15)2006–07 (MRI Classic): #166 of 326 (12-18)2007–08 (MRI Classic): #80 of 328 (21-13)2008–09 (MRI Classic): #64 of 330 (22-12)2009–10 (MRI Classic): #25 of 335 (29-6)2010–11 (MRI Classic): #30 of 346 (26-8)2011–12 (MRI Classic): #61 of 345 (24-8)2012–13 (MRI Classic): #66 of 347 (23-9)2013–14 (MRI Classic): #227 of 351 (9-22)2014–15 (MRI Classic): #37 of 351 (26-11)2015–16 (MRI Classic): #138 of 351 (21-12)2016–17 (MRI Classic): #190 of 351 (16-16)2017–18 (MRI Classic): #176 of 351 (15-16)2018–19 (MRI Classic): #84 of 353 (23-10)2019–20 (MRI Classic): #154 of 353 (14-17)2020–21 (MRI 2.0): #183 of 347 (5-11)2021–22 (MRI 2.0): #152 of 358 (17-12)2022–23 (MRI 2.0): #131 of 363 (16-16)2023–24 (MRI 2.0): #193 of 362 (16-20)2024–25 (MRI 2.0): #166 of 364 (17-15)2025–26 (MRI 2.0): #155 of 365 (16-16) MRI 2.0Classic 2004–05 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 250 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRec MRI 2.0MRI Classic
2025–26 16–16 #155 of 365 · 0.36 –
2024–25 17–15 #166 of 364 · -0.31 –
2023–24 16–20 #193 of 362 · -2.36 –
2022–23 16–16 #131 of 363 · 2.82 –
2021–22 17–12 #152 of 358 · 1.62 –
2020–21 5–11 #183 of 347 · -1.12 –
2019–20 14–17 – #154 of 353 · 40.97
2018–19 23–10 – #84 of 353 · 70.39
2017–18 15–16 – #176 of 351 · 37.60
2016–17 16–16 – #190 of 351 · 32.37
2015–16 21–12 – #138 of 351 · 55.50
2014–15 26–11 – #37 of 351 · 115.13
2013–14 9–22 – #227 of 351 · 13.98
2012–13 23–9 – #66 of 347 · 88.53
2011–12 24–8 – #61 of 345 · 93.27
2010–11 26–8 – #30 of 346 · 123.59
2009–10 29–6 – #25 of 335 · 140.51
2008–09 22–12 – #64 of 330 · 92.25
2007–08 21–13 – #80 of 328 · 76.55
2006–07 12–18 – #166 of 326 · 30.28
2005–06 17–15 – #81 of 326 · 78.00
2004–05 16–13 – #96 of 326 · 65.52