The MRI
2026–27 · Week 3

Charleston

CAA · 3–0

Power+4.3#112 of 365
Résumé+0.50#87 · wins above average
Movement+11up from #123 last week
Best winTemple (91–81)
Schedule faced-20.6 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-4.6 avg opponent
Returning production12% of last season's win shares · #263 of 364 · counted against its preseason rating
Incoming production12.7 win shares from other schools' players
Recruiting class#115 in the country

How this rating is built

Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.

PartValueWeightAdds
Margin counted+34.0 avg× 27%+9.3
Opponents faced-20.6 avg× 27%-5.6
Preseason prior+0.9× 73%+0.6
Power+4.3

This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerfAdds
2 vs Southern Wesleyan non-D1 W 111–55 +40.4 +15.6 +0.7
2 vs Newberry non-D1 W 112–66 +40.4 +5.6 +1.2
3 at Temple W 91–81 +5.1 +4.9 +1.8
Preseason prior (73% of the rating)+0.6
Power+4.3

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 vs South Carolina State +19.0 96%
4 at Drake -0.2 49%
5 N UTEP +11.6 85%
5 vs Howard +9.4 80%
10 vs Northeastern +15.4 92%
10 vs North Carolina A&T +18.7 96%
11 at Drexel +9.0 79%
11 at Monmouth +3.0 61%

Season by season

Best finish: #48 in 2010–11. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.

25 1 400 2004–05 (MRI Classic): #95 of 326 (18-10)2005–06 (MRI Classic): #98 of 326 (17-11)2006–07 (MRI Classic): #108 of 326 (22-11)2007–08 (MRI Classic): #183 of 328 (16-17)2008–09 (MRI Classic): #98 of 330 (27-9)2009–10 (MRI Classic): #168 of 335 (22-12)2010–11 (MRI Classic): #48 of 346 (26-11)2011–12 (MRI Classic): #135 of 345 (19-12)2012–13 (MRI Classic): #83 of 347 (24-9)2013–14 (MRI Classic): #182 of 351 (14-18)2014–15 (MRI Classic): #310 of 351 (9-24)2015–16 (MRI Classic): #118 of 351 (17-14)2016–17 (MRI Classic): #80 of 351 (25-9)2017–18 (MRI Classic): #82 of 351 (26-8)2018–19 (MRI Classic): #73 of 353 (23-9)2019–20 (MRI Classic): #174 of 353 (16-14)2020–21 (MRI 2.0): #231 of 347 (9-10)2021–22 (MRI 2.0): #178 of 358 (17-15)2022–23 (MRI 2.0): #65 of 363 (31-4)2023–24 (MRI 2.0): #88 of 362 (27-8)2024–25 (MRI 2.0): #126 of 364 (24-9)2025–26 (MRI 2.0): #160 of 365 (21-11) MRI 2.0Classic 2004–05 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRec MRI 2.0MRI Classic
2025–26 21–11 #160 of 365 · -0.03 –
2024–25 24–9 #126 of 364 · 2.44 –
2023–24 27–8 #88 of 362 · 7.01 –
2022–23 31–4 #65 of 363 · 9.86 –
2021–22 17–15 #178 of 358 · -0.35 –
2020–21 9–10 #231 of 347 · -4.28 –
2019–20 16–14 – #174 of 353 · 33.85
2018–19 23–9 – #73 of 353 · 80.88
2017–18 26–8 – #82 of 351 · 83.56
2016–17 25–9 – #80 of 351 · 82.11
2015–16 17–14 – #118 of 351 · 62.76
2014–15 9–24 – #310 of 351 · -28.13
2013–14 14–18 – #182 of 351 · 33.08
2012–13 24–9 – #83 of 347 · 70.94
2011–12 19–12 – #135 of 345 · 50.50
2010–11 26–11 – #48 of 346 · 106.01
2009–10 22–12 – #168 of 335 · 36.21
2008–09 27–9 – #98 of 330 · 68.42
2007–08 16–17 – #183 of 328 · 23.83
2006–07 22–11 – #108 of 326 · 60.78
2005–06 17–11 – #98 of 326 · 65.09
2004–05 18–10 – #95 of 326 · 66.10