Youngstown State
Horizon · 1–2
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -4.7 avg | × 27% | -1.3 |
| Opponents faced | +4.2 avg | × 27% | +1.2 |
| Preseason prior | -6.0 | × 73% | -4.4 |
| Power | -4.5 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | St. Bonaventure | W 79–71 | -8.9 | +16.9 | +2.0 |
| 2 | at | Ohio State | L 65–89 | -24.5 | +0.5 | -0.6 |
| 3 | at | Central Michigan | L 78–91 | -1.7 | -11.3 | -1.5 |
| Preseason prior (73% of the rating) | -4.4 | |||||
| Power | -4.5 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs | Marshall | +0.4 | 51% |
| 4 | at | Cincinnati | -29.9 | 0% |
| 4 | vs | William & Mary | +0.2 | 51% |
| 5 | vs | Maryland Eastern Shore | +14.7 | 91% |
| 5 | vs | Bryant & Stratton (Ohio) non-D1 | +31.6 | 100% |
| 7 | at | Buffalo | -1.1 | 46% |
Season by season
Best finish: #118 in 2023–24. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 15–17 | #200 of 365 · -2.39 | – |
| 2024–25 | 21–13 | #183 of 364 · -1.24 | – |
| 2023–24 | 22–10 | #118 of 362 · 3.71 | – |
| 2022–23 | 24–10 | #120 of 363 · 3.44 | – |
| 2021–22 | 19–15 | #236 of 358 · -4.40 | – |
| 2020–21 | 15–12 | #240 of 347 · -4.96 | – |
| 2019–20 | 16–15 | – | #188 of 353 · 26.59 |
| 2018–19 | 10–20 | – | #293 of 353 · -24.80 |
| 2017–18 | 8–24 | – | #323 of 351 · -42.20 |
| 2016–17 | 13–21 | – | #315 of 351 · -32.41 |
| 2015–16 | 11–21 | – | #319 of 351 · -38.06 |
| 2014–15 | 11–21 | – | #289 of 351 · -18.86 |
| 2013–14 | 15–17 | – | #191 of 351 · 30.02 |
| 2012–13 | 14–15 | – | #206 of 347 · 14.19 |
| 2011–12 | 16–15 | – | #186 of 345 · 28.02 |
| 2010–11 | 9–21 | – | #302 of 346 · -31.28 |
| 2009–10 | 8–22 | – | #245 of 335 · 1.74 |
| 2008–09 | 11–19 | – | #243 of 330 · 0.45 |
| 2007–08 | 9–21 | – | #269 of 328 · -15.71 |
| 2006–07 | 14–17 | – | #207 of 326 · 13.81 |
| 2005–06 | 7–21 | – | #271 of 326 · -13.72 |
| 2004–05 | 5–23 | – | #320 of 326 · -79.39 |