William & Mary
CAA · 2–1
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +14.2 avg | × 27% | +3.9 |
| Opponents faced | -12.4 avg | × 27% | -3.4 |
| Preseason prior | -3.1 | × 73% | -2.3 |
| Power | -1.8 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs | Bridgewater College (VA) non-D1 | W 80–66 | +34.4 | -20.4 | -1.0 |
| 2 | vs | Norfolk State | W 104–73 | +16.7 | +14.3 | +1.3 |
| 3 | at | Florida Atlantic | L 90–95 | -6.0 | +1.0 | +0.2 |
| Preseason prior (73% of the rating) | -2.3 | |||||
| Power | -1.8 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | Michigan | -35.2 | 0% |
| 4 | vs | Bowling Green | +2.7 | 60% |
| 4 | vs | Averett non-D1 | +34.4 | 100% |
| 4 | at | Youngstown State | -0.2 | 49% |
| 5 | N | IU Indianapolis | +11.2 | 85% |
| 5 | at | James Madison | -3.5 | 38% |
| 8 | at | Richmond | -9.5 | 19% |
| 10 | vs | Drexel | +8.9 | 79% |
Season by season
Best finish: #84 in 2015–16. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 20–12 | #143 of 365 · 1.06 | – |
| 2024–25 | 17–15 | #229 of 364 · -4.36 | – |
| 2023–24 | 10–23 | #319 of 362 · -11.04 | – |
| 2022–23 | 13–20 | #322 of 363 · -10.67 | – |
| 2021–22 | 5–27 | #341 of 358 · -14.63 | – |
| 2020–21 | 7–10 | #283 of 347 · -8.53 | – |
| 2019–20 | 20–11 | – | #170 of 353 · 34.49 |
| 2018–19 | 13–17 | – | #209 of 353 · 12.85 |
| 2017–18 | 19–12 | – | #167 of 351 · 40.45 |
| 2016–17 | 17–14 | – | #149 of 351 · 45.36 |
| 2015–16 | 20–11 | – | #84 of 351 · 80.99 |
| 2014–15 | 20–13 | – | #120 of 351 · 57.07 |
| 2013–14 | 20–12 | – | #179 of 351 · 33.64 |
| 2012–13 | 12–17 | – | #234 of 347 · 0.38 |
| 2011–12 | 6–25 | – | #322 of 345 · -55.74 |
| 2010–11 | 10–22 | – | #271 of 346 · -12.36 |
| 2009–10 | 22–11 | – | #139 of 335 · 49.87 |
| 2008–09 | 10–20 | – | #230 of 330 · 3.53 |
| 2007–08 | 17–16 | – | #212 of 328 · 12.54 |
| 2006–07 | 15–15 | – | #201 of 326 · 16.72 |
| 2005–06 | 8–20 | – | #249 of 326 · -4.91 |
| 2004–05 | 8–21 | – | #298 of 326 · -35.83 |