Pepperdine
WCC · 2–2
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +20.3 avg | × 33% | +6.8 |
| Opponents faced | -21.6 avg | × 33% | -7.2 |
| Preseason prior | -8.8 | × 67% | -5.9 |
| Power | -6.3 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | Cornell | L 85–86 | -5.8 | +4.8 | +0.3 |
| 2 | vs | La Sierra non-D1 | W 106–66 | +29.8 | +10.2 | +0.0 |
| 2 | vs | Bethesda University non-D1 | W 116–43 | +29.8 | +43.2 | -0.3 |
| 3 | at | Sam Houston | L 77–85 | -8.6 | +0.6 | -0.4 |
| Preseason prior (67% of the rating) | -5.9 | |||||
| Power | -6.3 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | Oregon | -21.1 | 3% |
| 4 | vs | UC Santa Barbara | -9.1 | 20% |
| 5 | vs | UNC Greensboro | +5.4 | 69% |
| 5 | vs | Cal State Bakersfield | +7.9 | 76% |
| 5 | N | Lehigh | +2.4 | 59% |
Season by season
Best finish: #110 in 2020–21. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 9–23 | #308 of 365 · -11.05 | – |
| 2024–25 | 13–22 | #248 of 364 · -6.22 | – |
| 2023–24 | 13–20 | #240 of 362 · -4.74 | – |
| 2022–23 | 9–22 | #228 of 363 · -3.88 | – |
| 2021–22 | 7–25 | #276 of 358 · -7.43 | – |
| 2020–21 | 15–12 | #110 of 347 · 4.88 | – |
| 2019–20 | 16–16 | – | #182 of 353 · 31.38 |
| 2018–19 | 15–18 | – | #169 of 353 · 31.50 |
| 2017–18 | 6–26 | – | #300 of 351 · -23.24 |
| 2016–17 | 9–22 | – | #313 of 351 · -32.05 |
| 2015–16 | 18–14 | – | #162 of 351 · 45.04 |
| 2014–15 | 18–14 | – | #166 of 351 · 36.75 |
| 2013–14 | 15–16 | – | #213 of 351 · 20.13 |
| 2012–13 | 11–18 | – | #239 of 347 · -1.40 |
| 2011–12 | 10–19 | – | #263 of 345 · -7.73 |
| 2010–11 | 12–21 | – | #244 of 346 · 0.79 |
| 2009–10 | 7–24 | – | #304 of 335 · -39.20 |
| 2008–09 | 9–23 | – | #311 of 330 · -52.94 |
| 2007–08 | 11–21 | – | #260 of 328 · -12.25 |
| 2006–07 | 8–23 | – | #296 of 326 · -35.25 |
| 2005–06 | 7–20 | – | #283 of 326 · -18.40 |
| 2004–05 | 17–14 | – | #130 of 326 · 45.73 |