Fairfield
Metro · 1–2
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -14.1 avg | × 27% | -3.9 |
| Opponents faced | -0.2 avg | × 27% | +0.0 |
| Preseason prior | -5.7 | × 73% | -4.1 |
| Power | -8.0 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs | NJIT | +12.0 | 86% |
| 4 | vs | St. Joseph's (NY) non-D1 | +28.1 | 100% |
| 4 | at | Long Island University | -2.8 | 40% |
| 5 | vs | Navy | -0.5 | 48% |
| 5 | vs | Central Connecticut | +3.6 | 63% |
| 7 | at | Providence | -23.5 | 2% |
Season by season
Best finish: #66 in 2010–11. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 21–13 | #262 of 365 · -6.87 | – |
| 2024–25 | 12–20 | #325 of 364 · -11.67 | – |
| 2023–24 | 24–13 | #180 of 362 · -1.54 | – |
| 2022–23 | 13–18 | #249 of 363 · -5.29 | – |
| 2021–22 | 15–18 | #225 of 358 · -3.67 | – |
| 2020–21 | 10–17 | #308 of 347 · -10.78 | – |
| 2019–20 | 12–20 | – | #278 of 353 · -14.96 |
| 2018–19 | 9–22 | – | #274 of 353 · -14.06 |
| 2017–18 | 17–16 | – | #210 of 351 · 22.00 |
| 2016–17 | 16–15 | – | #225 of 351 · 14.12 |
| 2015–16 | 19–14 | – | #209 of 351 · 17.23 |
| 2014–15 | 7–24 | – | #299 of 351 · -25.45 |
| 2013–14 | 7–25 | – | #308 of 351 · -32.11 |
| 2012–13 | 19–15 | – | #161 of 347 · 35.07 |
| 2011–12 | 17–14 | – | #123 of 345 · 59.52 |
| 2010–11 | 25–8 | – | #66 of 346 · 88.91 |
| 2009–10 | 23–11 | – | #107 of 335 · 64.88 |
| 2008–09 | 17–15 | – | #167 of 330 · 32.83 |
| 2007–08 | 14–16 | – | #233 of 328 · -0.40 |
| 2006–07 | 13–19 | – | #198 of 326 · 18.02 |
| 2005–06 | 9–19 | – | #273 of 326 · -14.45 |
| 2004–05 | 14–15 | – | #176 of 326 · 26.77 |