Navy
Patriot · 3–1
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +0.3 avg | × 33% | +0.1 |
| Opponents faced | -10.2 avg | × 33% | -3.4 |
| Preseason prior | -1.9 | × 67% | -1.3 |
| Power | -4.6 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | George Washington | L 39–91 | -16.8 | -35.2 | -2.6 |
| 2 | vs | Delaware State | W 66–60 | +11.7 | -5.7 | -1.0 |
| 2 | vs | Central Penn non-D1 | W 102–46 | +31.6 | +24.4 | +0.3 |
| 3 | vs | Pennsylvania | W 81–76 | -2.1 | +7.1 | +0.0 |
| Preseason prior (67% of the rating) | -1.3 | |||||
| Power | -4.6 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs | Hampton | +7.0 | 74% |
| 4 | at | Georgetown | -14.3 | 10% |
| 4 | at | Rider | +12.5 | 87% |
| 5 | vs | Penn State Berks non-D1 | +31.6 | 100% |
| 5 | at | Fairfield | +0.5 | 52% |
| 5 | N | Central Connecticut | +4.1 | 64% |
| 6 | at | Air Force | +3.2 | 61% |
Season by season
Best finish: #141 in 2025–26. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 26–8 | #141 of 365 · 1.58 | – |
| 2024–25 | 15–19 | #273 of 364 · -7.52 | – |
| 2023–24 | 13–18 | #306 of 362 · -9.47 | – |
| 2022–23 | 18–13 | #176 of 363 · -0.30 | – |
| 2021–22 | 21–11 | #164 of 358 · 0.40 | – |
| 2020–21 | 15–3 | #155 of 347 · 0.70 | – |
| 2019–20 | 13–16 | – | #196 of 353 · 21.38 |
| 2018–19 | 12–19 | – | #268 of 353 · -11.31 |
| 2017–18 | 20–12 | – | #160 of 351 · 43.33 |
| 2016–17 | 16–16 | – | #154 of 351 · 42.67 |
| 2015–16 | 19–14 | – | #145 of 351 · 52.42 |
| 2014–15 | 13–19 | – | #248 of 351 · 4.01 |
| 2013–14 | 9–21 | – | #299 of 351 · -25.79 |
| 2012–13 | 7–23 | – | #312 of 347 · -41.62 |
| 2011–12 | 3–26 | – | #312 of 345 · -45.47 |
| 2010–11 | 11–20 | – | #299 of 346 · -27.03 |
| 2009–10 | 13–17 | – | #286 of 335 · -21.42 |
| 2008–09 | 19–11 | – | #175 of 330 · 31.26 |
| 2007–08 | 16–14 | – | #170 of 328 · 30.50 |
| 2006–07 | 14–16 | – | #236 of 326 · -1.52 |
| 2005–06 | 10–18 | – | #257 of 326 · -8.60 |
| 2004–05 | 9–19 | – | #257 of 326 · -7.83 |