The MRI
2026–27 · Week 3

Bryant

Am. East · 1–3

Power-14.0#334 of 365
Résumé-1.11#493 · wins above average
Movement+1up from #335 last week
Best winSiena (80–75)
Worst lossFairfield (59–68)
Schedule faced-0.5 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-9.1 avg opponent
Returning production24% of last season's win shares · #171 of 364 · counted against its preseason rating
Incoming production2.4 win shares from other schools' players

How this rating is built

Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.

PartValueWeightAdds
Margin counted-13.0 avg× 33%-4.3
Opponents faced-0.5 avg× 33%-0.2
Preseason prior-14.2× 67%-9.5
Power-14.0

This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerfAdds
2 vs Siena W 80–75 -9.4 +14.4 -0.2
2 at Quinnipiac L 56–66 -12.0 +2.0 -1.0
2 vs Fairfield L 59–68 -3.0 -6.0 -2.5
3 at Providence L 55–78 -29.4 +6.4 -0.8
Preseason prior (67% of the rating)-9.5
Power-14.0

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 at Rutgers -26.3 1%
4 at Massachusetts -14.6 9%
4 vs Worcester State non-D1 +22.2 98%
5 at Marist -11.4 15%
5 vs Iona -6.0 29%
6 vs Brown -2.0 43%
7 at Fordham -18.8 4%
10 vs Maine +2.1 58%

Season by season

Best finish: #117 in 2024–25. 16 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.

25 1 400 2010–11 (MRI Classic): #314 of 346 (9-21)2011–12 (MRI Classic): #343 of 345 (2-27)2012–13 (MRI Classic): #139 of 347 (19-11)2013–14 (MRI Classic): #192 of 351 (18-14)2014–15 (MRI Classic): #239 of 351 (16-15)2015–16 (MRI Classic): #347 of 351 (8-23)2016–17 (MRI Classic): #262 of 351 (12-20)2017–18 (MRI Classic): #347 of 351 (3-28)2018–19 (MRI Classic): #322 of 353 (10-20)2019–20 (MRI Classic): #202 of 353 (14-17)2020–21 (MRI 2.0): #150 of 347 (15-7)2021–22 (MRI 2.0): #169 of 358 (22-10)2022–23 (MRI 2.0): #170 of 363 (17-13)2023–24 (MRI 2.0): #166 of 362 (20-13)2024–25 (MRI 2.0): #117 of 364 (23-12)2025–26 (MRI 2.0): #332 of 365 (9-22) MRI 2.0Classic 2010–11 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRec MRI 2.0MRI Classic
2025–26 9–22 #332 of 365 · -13.49 –
2024–25 23–12 #117 of 364 · 3.24 –
2023–24 20–13 #166 of 362 · 0.03 –
2022–23 17–13 #170 of 363 · -0.09 –
2021–22 22–10 #169 of 358 · 0.12 –
2020–21 15–7 #150 of 347 · 0.97 –
2019–20 14–17 – #202 of 353 · 17.56
2018–19 10–20 – #322 of 353 · -46.13
2017–18 3–28 – #347 of 351 · -101.43
2016–17 12–20 – #262 of 351 · -5.50
2015–16 8–23 – #347 of 351 · -81.00
2014–15 16–15 – #239 of 351 · 7.89
2013–14 18–14 – #192 of 351 · 29.55
2012–13 19–11 – #139 of 347 · 42.77
2011–12 2–27 – #343 of 345 · -98.71
2010–11 9–21 – #314 of 346 · -44.58