Gardner-Webb
Big South · 1–2
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -17.4 avg | × 27% | -4.7 |
| Opponents faced | +3.7 avg | × 27% | +1.0 |
| Preseason prior | -20.5 | × 73% | -14.9 |
| Power | -18.6 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | South Carolina | -29.7 | 0% |
| 4 | vs | UNC Greensboro | -6.9 | 27% |
| 4 | at | VMI | -8.3 | 23% |
| 5 | at | Bowling Green | -20.0 | 3% |
| 5 | vs | North Carolina Central | -0.4 | 49% |
| 6 | vs | Bob Jones non-D1 | +17.5 | 94% |
| 6 | vs | Queens University | -14.0 | 10% |
| 7 | vs | Campbell | -8.5 | 22% |
Season by season
Best finish: #119 in 2004–05. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 4–29 | #362 of 365 · -21.79 | – |
| 2024–25 | 11–20 | #259 of 364 · -6.56 | – |
| 2023–24 | 17–16 | #187 of 362 · -2.08 | – |
| 2022–23 | 15–16 | #174 of 363 · -0.22 | – |
| 2021–22 | 18–13 | #167 of 358 · 0.22 | – |
| 2020–21 | 11–15 | #172 of 347 · -0.52 | – |
| 2019–20 | 14–16 | – | #216 of 353 · 11.48 |
| 2018–19 | 20–12 | – | #167 of 353 · 31.92 |
| 2017–18 | 14–18 | – | #254 of 351 · 0.54 |
| 2016–17 | 19–14 | – | #130 of 351 · 55.72 |
| 2015–16 | 17–16 | – | #196 of 351 · 23.78 |
| 2014–15 | 20–15 | – | #206 of 351 · 21.90 |
| 2013–14 | 18–15 | – | #186 of 351 · 31.91 |
| 2012–13 | 18–12 | – | #133 of 347 · 45.75 |
| 2011–12 | 12–20 | – | #239 of 345 · 3.78 |
| 2010–11 | 11–21 | – | #276 of 346 · -13.62 |
| 2009–10 | 8–21 | – | #313 of 335 · -49.65 |
| 2008–09 | 13–17 | – | #197 of 330 · 22.44 |
| 2007–08 | 16–16 | – | #192 of 328 · 20.77 |
| 2006–07 | 9–21 | – | #299 of 326 · -36.09 |
| 2005–06 | 17–12 | – | #241 of 326 · -0.81 |
| 2004–05 | 18–12 | – | #119 of 326 · 52.07 |