Campbell
CAA · 0–3
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -15.6 avg | × 27% | -4.3 |
| Opponents faced | +7.5 avg | × 27% | +2.1 |
| Preseason prior | -6.8 | × 73% | -5.0 |
| Power | -7.2 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | NC State | L 64–83 | -29.7 | +10.7 | +0.1 |
| 2 | at | Western Michigan | L 71–87 | -10.0 | -6.0 | -1.3 |
| 3 | at | East Tennessee State | L 53–68 | -13.2 | -1.8 | -1.0 |
| Preseason prior (73% of the rating) | -5.0 | |||||
| Power | -7.2 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs | South Carolina Upstate | +9.8 | 81% |
| 4 | at | Oklahoma | -21.1 | 3% |
| 4 | at | Kansas State | -16.2 | 7% |
| 5 | at | Coastal Carolina | -1.1 | 46% |
| 7 | at | Gardner-Webb | +8.5 | 78% |
| 8 | at | Duke | -41.8 | 0% |
| 10 | at | Mississippi State | -24.5 | 1% |
| 10 | at | UNC Wilmington | -13.9 | 10% |
Season by season
Best finish: #112 in 2009–10. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 16–18 | #201 of 365 · -2.41 | – |
| 2024–25 | 15–17 | #223 of 364 · -3.97 | – |
| 2023–24 | 14–18 | #299 of 362 · -8.67 | – |
| 2022–23 | 16–18 | #209 of 363 · -2.64 | – |
| 2021–22 | 16–13 | #188 of 358 · -0.96 | – |
| 2020–21 | 17–10 | #188 of 347 · -1.64 | – |
| 2019–20 | 13–16 | – | #244 of 353 · 0.52 |
| 2018–19 | 17–13 | – | #181 of 353 · 26.01 |
| 2017–18 | 18–16 | – | #195 of 351 · 26.55 |
| 2016–17 | 19–18 | – | #222 of 351 · 15.41 |
| 2015–16 | 12–18 | – | #255 of 351 · -7.18 |
| 2014–15 | 10–22 | – | #282 of 351 · -12.68 |
| 2013–14 | 12–20 | – | #321 of 351 · -40.65 |
| 2012–13 | 11–19 | – | #289 of 347 · -26.37 |
| 2011–12 | 17–15 | – | #210 of 345 · 17.45 |
| 2010–11 | 12–19 | – | #229 of 346 · 9.07 |
| 2009–10 | 19–11 | – | #112 of 335 · 63.61 |
| 2008–09 | 14–16 | – | #209 of 330 · 18.74 |
| 2007–08 | 10–20 | – | #242 of 328 · -5.69 |
| 2006–07 | 14–17 | – | #233 of 326 · 1.35 |
| 2005–06 | 10–18 | – | #243 of 326 · -0.83 |
| 2004–05 | 2–24 | – | #314 of 326 · -62.10 |