The MRI
2026–27 · Week 3

IU Indianapolis

Horizon · 3–0

Power-13.0#325 of 365
Résumé+0.42#97 · wins above average
Movement-6down from #319 last week
Best winUT Martin (75–74)
Schedule faced-15.9 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-2.9 avg opponent
Returning production13% of last season's win shares · #252 of 364 · counted against its preseason rating
Incoming production3.0 win shares from other schools' players

How this rating is built

Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.

PartValueWeightAdds
Margin counted+8.3 avg× 27%+2.2
Opponents faced-15.9 avg× 27%-4.3
Preseason prior-15.0× 73%-10.9
Power-13.0

This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerfAdds
2 vs Miami (OH)-Middletown non-D1 W 113–76 +23.2 +13.8 +0.3
2 vs UT Martin W 75–74 -5.8 +6.8 -1.0
3 vs Southern Indiana W 74–70 +2.7 +1.3 -1.4
Preseason prior (73% of the rating)-10.9
Power-13.0

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 at Morehead State -3.5 38%
4 at Penn State -20.8 3%
4 N Maryland Eastern Shore +3.3 62%
5 N William & Mary -11.2 15%
5 at Tulsa -24.6 1%
7 at Kansas State -22.0 2%
9 vs Charleston Southern -1.1 46%

Season by season

Best finish: #43 in 2007–08. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.

25 1 400 2004–05 (MRI Classic): #120 of 326 (15-13)2005–06 (MRI Classic): #137 of 326 (19-10)2006–07 (MRI Classic): #164 of 326 (15-15)2007–08 (MRI Classic): #43 of 328 (26-7)2008–09 (MRI Classic): #186 of 330 (16-14)2009–10 (MRI Classic): #69 of 335 (25-11)2010–11 (MRI Classic): #144 of 346 (19-14)2011–12 (MRI Classic): #187 of 345 (14-18)2012–13 (MRI Classic): #338 of 347 (4-26)2013–14 (MRI Classic): #336 of 351 (6-26)2014–15 (MRI Classic): #284 of 351 (10-21)2015–16 (MRI Classic): #254 of 351 (13-19)2016–17 (MRI Classic): #221 of 351 (14-18)2017–18 (MRI Classic): #273 of 351 (11-19)2018–19 (MRI Classic): #162 of 353 (14-17)2019–20 (MRI Classic): #337 of 353 (5-25)2020–21 (MRI 2.0): #300 of 347 (8-10)2021–22 (MRI 2.0): #356 of 358 (3-26)2022–23 (MRI 2.0): #362 of 363 (5-27)2023–24 (MRI 2.0): #361 of 362 (6-26)2024–25 (MRI 2.0): #334 of 364 (10-22)2025–26 (MRI 2.0): #333 of 365 (7-25) MRI 2.0Classic 2004–05 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRec MRI 2.0MRI Classic
2025–26 7–25 #333 of 365 · -13.59 –
2024–25 10–22 #334 of 364 · -12.91 –
2023–24 6–26 #361 of 362 · -22.01 –
2022–23 5–27 #362 of 363 · -20.32 –
2021–22 3–26 #356 of 358 · -21.55 –
2020–21 8–10 #300 of 347 · -9.49 –
2019–20 5–25 – #337 of 353 · -65.14
2018–19 14–17 – #162 of 353 · 34.11
2017–18 11–19 – #273 of 351 · -8.86
2016–17 14–18 – #221 of 351 · 16.28
2015–16 13–19 – #254 of 351 · -6.85
2014–15 10–21 – #284 of 351 · -15.48
2013–14 6–26 – #336 of 351 · -64.81
2012–13 4–26 – #338 of 347 · -81.15
2011–12 14–18 – #187 of 345 · 27.76
2010–11 19–14 – #144 of 346 · 47.75
2009–10 25–11 – #69 of 335 · 89.99
2008–09 16–14 – #186 of 330 · 26.08
2007–08 26–7 – #43 of 328 · 109.35
2006–07 15–15 – #164 of 326 · 32.01
2005–06 19–10 – #137 of 326 · 42.68
2004–05 15–13 – #120 of 326 · 51.23