The MRI
2026–27 · Week 3

Charleston Southern

Big South · 1–2

Power-9.0#280 of 365
Résumé-0.28#242 · wins above average
Movement+1up from #281 last week
Best winColumbia International (86–49)
Worst lossWake Forest (64–82)
Schedule faced-3.3 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-11.8 avg opponent
Returning production14% of last season's win shares · #242 of 364 · counted against its preseason rating
Incoming production0.3 win shares from other schools' players

How this rating is built

Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.

PartValueWeightAdds
Margin counted-3.4 avg× 27%-0.9
Opponents faced-3.3 avg× 27%-0.9
Preseason prior-9.8× 73%-7.2
Power-9.0

This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerfAdds
2 at South Florida L 71–98 -25.8 -1.2 -1.2
2 vs Columbia International non-D1 W 86–49 +27.2 +9.8 +0.1
3 at Wake Forest L 64–82 -21.2 +3.2 -0.7
Preseason prior (73% of the rating)-7.2
Power-9.0

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 vs West Georgia +8.5 78%
4 vs Wofford -1.3 45%
4 at Mercer -10.5 17%
5 at James Madison -10.7 17%
5 at East Tennessee State -15.0 9%
5 N Morehead State +3.5 63%
6 vs The Citadel +9.8 81%
6 at South Carolina State -0.1 50%

Season by season

Best finish: #118 in 2011–12. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.

25 1 400 2004–05 (MRI Classic): #281 of 326 (13-17)2005–06 (MRI Classic): #226 of 326 (13-16)2006–07 (MRI Classic): #310 of 326 (8-22)2007–08 (MRI Classic): #303 of 328 (10-20)2008–09 (MRI Classic): #273 of 330 (9-20)2009–10 (MRI Classic): #228 of 335 (13-17)2010–11 (MRI Classic): #171 of 346 (16-16)2011–12 (MRI Classic): #118 of 345 (19-12)2012–13 (MRI Classic): #135 of 347 (16-12)2013–14 (MRI Classic): #173 of 351 (13-18)2014–15 (MRI Classic): #130 of 351 (19-12)2015–16 (MRI Classic): #287 of 351 (9-21)2016–17 (MRI Classic): #257 of 351 (12-19)2017–18 (MRI Classic): #203 of 351 (15-16)2018–19 (MRI Classic): #180 of 353 (14-16)2019–20 (MRI Classic): #304 of 353 (12-18)2020–21 (MRI 2.0): #325 of 347 (3-18)2021–22 (MRI 2.0): #344 of 358 (6-25)2022–23 (MRI 2.0): #303 of 363 (10-21)2023–24 (MRI 2.0): #317 of 362 (10-20)2024–25 (MRI 2.0): #311 of 364 (10-22)2025–26 (MRI 2.0): #250 of 365 (15-17) MRI 2.0Classic 2004–05 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRec MRI 2.0MRI Classic
2025–26 15–17 #250 of 365 · -6.23 –
2024–25 10–22 #311 of 364 · -10.89 –
2023–24 10–20 #317 of 362 · -10.97 –
2022–23 10–21 #303 of 363 · -9.03 –
2021–22 6–25 #344 of 358 · -15.54 –
2020–21 3–18 #325 of 347 · -13.55 –
2019–20 12–18 – #304 of 353 · -33.00
2018–19 14–16 – #180 of 353 · 26.26
2017–18 15–16 – #203 of 351 · 24.98
2016–17 12–19 – #257 of 351 · -2.82
2015–16 9–21 – #287 of 351 · -20.01
2014–15 19–12 – #130 of 351 · 53.17
2013–14 13–18 – #173 of 351 · 36.08
2012–13 16–12 – #135 of 347 · 44.77
2011–12 19–12 – #118 of 345 · 61.45
2010–11 16–16 – #171 of 346 · 34.29
2009–10 13–17 – #228 of 335 · 8.06
2008–09 9–20 – #273 of 330 · -15.29
2007–08 10–20 – #303 of 328 · -39.14
2006–07 8–22 – #310 of 326 · -48.67
2005–06 13–16 – #226 of 326 · 7.50
2004–05 13–17 – #281 of 326 · -20.68