Mercer
SoCon · 2–3
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 5 games, w is 38%, so the preseason prior is 62% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +0.2 avg | × 38% | +0.1 |
| Opponents faced | -0.1 avg | × 38% | -0.1 |
| Preseason prior | -2.4 | × 62% | -1.4 |
| Power | -1.4 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs | Reinhardt non-D1 | W 90–53 | +34.7 | +2.3 | +0.4 |
| 2 | at | Virginia Tech | L 67–96 | -20.1 | -8.9 | -1.0 |
| 2 | at | Davidson | L 76–88 | -10.0 | -2.0 | -0.3 |
| 3 | at | Georgia Southern | W 97–91 | +5.0 | +1.0 | +0.6 |
| 3 | at | West Virginia | L 61–75 | -21.0 | +7.0 | +0.3 |
| Preseason prior (62% of the rating) | -1.4 | |||||
| Power | -1.4 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | at | Presbyterian | +1.9 | 57% |
| 4 | vs | Charleston Southern | +10.5 | 83% |
| 5 | at | Florida Atlantic | -5.6 | 30% |
| 5 | vs | Georgia Southern-East Georgia non-D1 | +34.7 | 100% |
| 6 | vs | Wofford | +6.3 | 72% |
| 8 | at | Chattanooga | -1.0 | 46% |
| 9 | at | Tennessee Tech | +2.5 | 59% |
| 10 | vs | East Tennessee State | -1.5 | 44% |
Season by season
Best finish: #47 in 2013–14. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 300 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 19–13 | #161 of 365 · -0.10 | – |
| 2024–25 | 14–19 | #251 of 364 · -6.33 | – |
| 2023–24 | 16–17 | #238 of 362 · -4.55 | – |
| 2022–23 | 14–19 | #212 of 363 · -2.75 | – |
| 2021–22 | 16–17 | #180 of 358 · -0.46 | – |
| 2020–21 | 18–11 | #117 of 347 · 4.23 | – |
| 2019–20 | 15–15 | – | #200 of 353 · 18.79 |
| 2018–19 | 9–20 | – | #231 of 353 · 2.55 |
| 2017–18 | 19–15 | – | #120 of 351 · 60.34 |
| 2016–17 | 15–17 | – | #151 of 351 · 44.21 |
| 2015–16 | 19–15 | – | #137 of 351 · 55.63 |
| 2014–15 | 19–16 | – | #147 of 351 · 47.66 |
| 2013–14 | 27–9 | – | #47 of 351 · 104.89 |
| 2012–13 | 21–11 | – | #105 of 347 · 57.03 |
| 2011–12 | 21–10 | – | #120 of 345 · 60.86 |
| 2010–11 | 15–18 | – | #223 of 346 · 12.42 |
| 2009–10 | 16–17 | – | #204 of 335 · 17.35 |
| 2008–09 | 17–15 | – | #222 of 330 · 8.04 |
| 2007–08 | 11–19 | – | #268 of 328 · -15.45 |
| 2006–07 | 13–16 | – | #282 of 326 · -26.49 |
| 2005–06 | 9–19 | – | #300 of 326 · -39.03 |
| 2004–05 | 15–12 | – | #187 of 326 · 23.71 |