Presbyterian
Big South · 0–3
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -22.0 avg | × 27% | -6.0 |
| Opponents faced | +11.4 avg | × 27% | +3.1 |
| Preseason prior | -4.6 | × 73% | -3.4 |
| Power | -6.3 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs | St. Thomas-Minnesota | L 78–87 | -4.0 | -5.0 | -1.9 |
| 2 | at | Georgia | L 77–91 | -23.0 | +9.0 | +0.1 |
| 3 | at | NC State | L 60–94 | -28.8 | -5.2 | -1.1 |
| Preseason prior (73% of the rating) | -3.4 | |||||
| Power | -6.3 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vs | Mercer | -1.9 | 43% |
| 4 | at | Tennessee Tech | -2.4 | 41% |
| 5 | vs | Carolina Christian College non-D1 | +29.9 | 100% |
| 5 | vs | Sacramento State | +2.7 | 60% |
| 6 | at | Butler | -17.9 | 5% |
| 9 | at | Wake Forest | -18.6 | 5% |
Season by season
Best finish: #193 in 2018–19. 16 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 15–18 | #255 of 365 · -6.38 | – |
| 2024–25 | 14–19 | #232 of 364 · -4.74 | – |
| 2023–24 | 14–19 | #278 of 362 · -6.97 | – |
| 2022–23 | 5–27 | #327 of 363 · -11.61 | – |
| 2021–22 | 12–20 | #253 of 358 · -6.03 | – |
| 2020–21 | 7–15 | #315 of 347 · -11.63 | – |
| 2019–20 | 8–22 | – | #330 of 353 · -55.79 |
| 2018–19 | 17–16 | – | #193 of 353 · 21.33 |
| 2017–18 | 11–21 | – | #321 of 351 · -39.97 |
| 2016–17 | 5–25 | – | #349 of 351 · -93.78 |
| 2015–16 | 11–20 | – | #318 of 351 · -37.20 |
| 2014–15 | 10–22 | – | #321 of 351 · -40.28 |
| 2013–14 | 6–26 | – | #350 of 351 · -107.88 |
| 2012–13 | 5–24 | – | #345 of 347 · -105.62 |
| 2011–12 | 14–15 | – | #230 of 345 · 9.66 |
| 2010–11 | 13–18 | – | #264 of 346 · -8.10 |