The MRI
2026–27 · Week 3

Lehigh

Patriot · 1–2

Power-8.7#275 of 365
Résumé-0.55#339 · wins above average
Movement+1up from #276 last week
Best winCornell (71–64)
Worst lossBrown (55–65)
Schedule faced+2.1 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-10.3 avg opponent
Returning production73% of last season's win shares · #11 of 364
Incoming production0.0 win shares from other schools' players

How this rating is built

Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.

PartValueWeightAdds
Margin counted-15.2 avg× 27%-4.2
Opponents faced+2.1 avg× 27%+0.6
Preseason prior-7.0× 73%-5.1
Power-8.7

This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerfAdds
2 at Saint Louis L 67–92 -30.4 +5.4 -0.5
2 vs Cornell W 71–64 -2.3 +9.3 -0.1
2 vs Brown L 55–65 +3.3 -13.3 -3.0
Preseason prior (73% of the rating)-5.1
Power-8.7

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 vs Marist -0.2 49%
4 at Mount St. Mary's -1.2 46%
4 vs Neumann non-D1 +27.4 99%
5 vs Binghamton +6.6 73%
5 N UC Santa Barbara -14.5 9%
5 N Pepperdine -2.4 41%

Season by season

Best finish: #65 in 2011–12. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.

25 1 400 2004–05 (MRI Classic): #194 of 326 (13-15)2005–06 (MRI Classic): #139 of 326 (19-12)2006–07 (MRI Classic): #221 of 326 (12-19)2007–08 (MRI Classic): #223 of 328 (14-15)2008–09 (MRI Classic): #200 of 330 (15-14)2009–10 (MRI Classic): #114 of 335 (22-11)2010–11 (MRI Classic): #159 of 346 (16-15)2011–12 (MRI Classic): #65 of 345 (24-8)2012–13 (MRI Classic): #87 of 347 (20-9)2013–14 (MRI Classic): #266 of 351 (14-18)2014–15 (MRI Classic): #178 of 351 (16-14)2015–16 (MRI Classic): #168 of 351 (17-15)2016–17 (MRI Classic): #98 of 351 (20-12)2017–18 (MRI Classic): #217 of 351 (16-14)2018–19 (MRI Classic): #142 of 353 (20-11)2019–20 (MRI Classic): #292 of 353 (9-21)2020–21 (MRI 2.0): #324 of 347 (4-11)2021–22 (MRI 2.0): #307 of 358 (13-19)2022–23 (MRI 2.0): #272 of 363 (16-14)2023–24 (MRI 2.0): #247 of 362 (14-18)2024–25 (MRI 2.0): #272 of 364 (11-19)2025–26 (MRI 2.0): #285 of 365 (18-17) MRI 2.0Classic 2004–05 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRec MRI 2.0MRI Classic
2025–26 18–17 #285 of 365 · -8.90 –
2024–25 11–19 #272 of 364 · -7.42 –
2023–24 14–18 #247 of 362 · -5.22 –
2022–23 16–14 #272 of 363 · -7.13 –
2021–22 13–19 #307 of 358 · -10.50 –
2020–21 4–11 #324 of 347 · -13.29 –
2019–20 9–21 – #292 of 353 · -24.15
2018–19 20–11 – #142 of 353 · 43.20
2017–18 16–14 – #217 of 351 · 18.66
2016–17 20–12 – #98 of 351 · 68.20
2015–16 17–15 – #168 of 351 · 41.00
2014–15 16–14 – #178 of 351 · 33.14
2013–14 14–18 – #266 of 351 · -6.66
2012–13 20–9 – #87 of 347 · 65.88
2011–12 24–8 – #65 of 345 · 91.80
2010–11 16–15 – #159 of 346 · 39.97
2009–10 22–11 – #114 of 335 · 62.95
2008–09 15–14 – #200 of 330 · 21.86
2007–08 14–15 – #223 of 328 · 5.45
2006–07 12–19 – #221 of 326 · 6.73
2005–06 19–12 – #139 of 326 · 41.71
2004–05 13–15 – #194 of 326 · 20.62