The MRI
2026–27 · Week 3

Cornell

Ivy · 2–2

Power-3.4#194 of 365
Résumé-0.78#438 · wins above average
Movement-31down from #163 last week
Best winPepperdine (86–85)
Worst lossLehigh (64–71)
Schedule faced-9.8 avg opponent
Schedule ahead-8.5 avg opponent
Returning production39% of last season's win shares · #72 of 364
Incoming production0.0 win shares from other schools' players

How this rating is built

Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 4 games, w is 33%, so the preseason prior is 67% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.

PartValueWeightAdds
Margin counted+0.6 avg× 33%+0.2
Opponents faced-9.8 avg× 33%-3.3
Preseason prior-0.5× 67%-0.3
Power-3.4

This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.

Results

Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.

WkOpponentResult ExpectedPerfAdds
2 vs Pepperdine W 86–85 +5.8 -4.8 -1.1
2 at Lehigh L 64–71 +2.3 -9.3 -0.9
2 vs Keuka non-D1 W 99–59 +32.7 +7.3 +0.8
3 at St. Bonaventure L 64–88 -7.8 -16.2 -1.9
Preseason prior (67% of the rating)-0.3
Power-3.4

Remaining schedule

WkOpponent ProjectedWin prob
3 vs UNC Greensboro +8.3 78%
4 at Syracuse -20.6 3%
4 at Morgan State +8.0 76%
5 vs Bucknell +16.6 93%
5 vs St. Lawrence non-D1 +32.7 100%
12 vs Brown +8.6 78%
14 at Pennsylvania -6.9 27%
16 vs Pennsylvania -1.0 46%

Season by season

Best finish: #44 in 2009–10. 21 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.

25 1 400 2004–05 (MRI Classic): #220 of 326 (13-14)2005–06 (MRI Classic): #215 of 326 (13-15)2006–07 (MRI Classic): #165 of 326 (16-12)2007–08 (MRI Classic): #105 of 328 (22-6)2008–09 (MRI Classic): #79 of 330 (21-10)2009–10 (MRI Classic): #44 of 335 (29-5)2010–11 (MRI Classic): #216 of 346 (10-18)2011–12 (MRI Classic): #241 of 345 (12-16)2012–13 (MRI Classic): #254 of 347 (12-18)2013–14 (MRI Classic): #344 of 351 (2-26)2014–15 (MRI Classic): #231 of 351 (13-17)2015–16 (MRI Classic): #309 of 351 (10-18)2016–17 (MRI Classic): #308 of 351 (8-21)2017–18 (MRI Classic): #299 of 351 (12-16)2018–19 (MRI Classic): #273 of 353 (13-16)2019–20 (MRI Classic): #293 of 353 (5-20)2021–22 (MRI 2.0): #286 of 358 (15-11)2022–23 (MRI 2.0): #166 of 363 (17-11)2023–24 (MRI 2.0): #101 of 362 (22-8)2024–25 (MRI 2.0): #112 of 364 (18-11)2025–26 (MRI 2.0): #133 of 365 (15-13) MRI 2.0Classic 2004–05 2025–26

Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.

SeasonRec MRI 2.0MRI Classic
2025–26 15–13 #133 of 365 · 2.48 –
2024–25 18–11 #112 of 364 · 4.24 –
2023–24 22–8 #101 of 362 · 5.75 –
2022–23 17–11 #166 of 363 · 0.10 –
2021–22 15–11 #286 of 358 · -8.28 –
2019–20 5–20 – #293 of 353 · -24.78
2018–19 13–16 – #273 of 353 · -13.47
2017–18 12–16 – #299 of 351 · -22.30
2016–17 8–21 – #308 of 351 · -30.14
2015–16 10–18 – #309 of 351 · -33.33
2014–15 13–17 – #231 of 351 · 11.97
2013–14 2–26 – #344 of 351 · -74.39
2012–13 12–18 – #254 of 347 · -10.20
2011–12 12–16 – #241 of 345 · 2.80
2010–11 10–18 – #216 of 346 · 16.81
2009–10 29–5 – #44 of 335 · 117.17
2008–09 21–10 – #79 of 330 · 82.21
2007–08 22–6 – #105 of 328 · 68.65
2006–07 16–12 – #165 of 326 · 31.34
2005–06 13–15 – #215 of 326 · 12.70
2004–05 13–14 – #220 of 326 · 11.11