Purdue Fort Wayne
Horizon · 1–2
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | -2.2 avg | × 27% | -0.6 |
| Opponents faced | -9.7 avg | × 27% | -2.7 |
| Preseason prior | -6.6 | × 73% | -4.8 |
| Power | -8.1 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at | Duquesne | L 71–78 | -8.1 | +1.1 | -0.5 |
| 2 | vs | Albion non-D1 | W 103–65 | +28.1 | +9.9 | +0.7 |
| 3 | vs | Western Michigan | L 59–81 | -5.0 | -17.0 | -3.5 |
| Preseason prior (73% of the rating) | -4.8 | |||||
| Power | -8.1 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | Eastern Illinois | +2.6 | 59% |
| 4 | at | Bradley | -7.3 | 25% |
| 4 | vs | Calumet College non-D1 | +28.1 | 100% |
| 5 | at | Southeast Missouri State | -6.5 | 28% |
| 5 | vs | Wofford | -0.4 | 49% |
| 7 | at | Xavier | -27.2 | 1% |
Season by season
Best finish: #97 in 2016–17. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 17–15 | #228 of 365 · -4.99 | – |
| 2024–25 | 19–13 | #141 of 364 · 1.52 | – |
| 2023–24 | 23–13 | #160 of 362 · 0.87 | – |
| 2022–23 | 17–15 | #214 of 363 · -2.89 | – |
| 2021–22 | 21–12 | #215 of 358 · -2.96 | – |
| 2020–21 | 8–15 | #295 of 347 · -8.99 | – |
| 2019–20 | 11–19 | – | #275 of 353 · -13.13 |
| 2018–19 | 15–15 | – | #218 of 353 · 7.01 |
| 2017–18 | 18–15 | – | #137 of 351 · 52.19 |
| 2016–17 | 20–13 | – | #97 of 351 · 68.20 |
| 2015–16 | 24–10 | – | #121 of 351 · 61.95 |
| 2014–15 | 16–15 | – | #185 of 351 · 29.44 |
| 2013–14 | 25–11 | – | #109 of 351 · 63.35 |
| 2012–13 | 14–17 | – | #214 of 347 · 11.47 |
| 2011–12 | 11–19 | – | #246 of 345 · -0.06 |
| 2010–11 | 18–12 | – | #158 of 346 · 40.04 |
| 2009–10 | 16–15 | – | #209 of 335 · 14.67 |
| 2008–09 | 13–17 | – | #262 of 330 · -9.45 |
| 2007–08 | 13–18 | – | #262 of 328 · -12.31 |
| 2006–07 | 12–17 | – | #269 of 326 · -16.15 |
| 2005–06 | 10–18 | – | #296 of 326 · -33.20 |
| 2004–05 | 7–21 | – | #306 of 326 · -42.37 |