Southeast Missouri State
OVC · 2–1
How this rating is built
Power = w × (average margin counted + average opponent rating) + (1 − w) × preseason prior, where w = games ÷ (games + 8). After 3 games, w is 27%, so the preseason prior is 73% of this rating — mostly preseason, for now. Every game played shrinks that share.
| Part | Value | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin counted | +6.8 avg | × 27% | +1.8 |
| Opponents faced | -7.5 avg | × 27% | -2.0 |
| Preseason prior | -6.0 | × 73% | -4.3 |
| Power | -4.5 | ||
This explains how the model reached the number. The opponent ratings come out of the same fitted model, so it is not independent proof that the rating is right.
Results
Expected is the margin the model's ratings imply for that matchup and site. Perf is how far the actual margin beat it — the result against expectation. Adds is a different question: how many points of Power the game contributes, counting its margin and the strength of the opponent together. A game can beat expectation and still add little, or the reverse. Adds, plus the preseason prior, sum to Power (figures are rounded so the column adds up). Hover an Adds figure for its arithmetic.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Expected | Perf | Adds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs | Lipscomb | W 86–79 | +0.0 | +7.0 | +0.1 |
| 2 | vs | Webster non-D1 | W 90–65 | +31.6 | -6.6 | -0.4 |
| 2 | at | South Carolina | L 68–78 | -15.6 | +5.6 | +0.1 |
| Preseason prior (73% of the rating) | -4.3 | |||||
| Power | -4.5 | |||||
Remaining schedule
| Wk | Opponent | Projected | Win prob | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at | Middle Tennessee | -4.8 | 33% |
| 4 | vs | Midway University non-D1 | +31.6 | 100% |
| 4 | at | St. Thomas-Minnesota | -8.2 | 23% |
| 5 | vs | Purdue Fort Wayne | +6.5 | 72% |
| 5 | at | Kansas City | +5.8 | 70% |
| 6 | at | Wichita State | -19.3 | 4% |
| 10 | at | Eastern Illinois | +6.1 | 71% |
| 10 | vs | Southern Indiana | +11.2 | 84% |
Season by season
Best finish: #158 in 2013–14. 22 seasons rated. The two columns' numbers are not comparable; the rank within each is. Season links open that year's game log.
Finishing rank, best at the top, on an axis running to 400 — this team's own range, not the size of the field. Two lines where both ratings cover a season - MRI 2.0 in red, Classic in grey. Hover a point for the season.
| Season | Rec | MRI 2.0 | MRI Classic |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025–26 | 20–13 | #208 of 365 · -3.42 | – |
| 2024–25 | 21–12 | #205 of 364 · -3.07 | – |
| 2023–24 | 9–22 | #344 of 362 · -15.42 | – |
| 2022–23 | 19–17 | #252 of 363 · -5.58 | – |
| 2021–22 | 14–18 | #264 of 358 · -6.72 | – |
| 2020–21 | 11–16 | #301 of 347 · -9.50 | – |
| 2019–20 | 5–24 | – | #335 of 353 · -62.83 |
| 2018–19 | 8–21 | – | #304 of 353 · -32.96 |
| 2017–18 | 14–17 | – | #252 of 351 · 1.58 |
| 2016–17 | 15–18 | – | #234 of 351 · 10.68 |
| 2015–16 | 5–24 | – | #337 of 351 · -62.55 |
| 2014–15 | 13–17 | – | #227 of 351 · 13.78 |
| 2013–14 | 18–14 | – | #158 of 351 · 41.73 |
| 2012–13 | 15–16 | – | #203 of 347 · 18.10 |
| 2011–12 | 15–16 | – | #206 of 345 · 18.58 |
| 2010–11 | 10–22 | – | #305 of 346 · -33.55 |
| 2009–10 | 7–23 | – | #306 of 335 · -43.39 |
| 2008–09 | 3–27 | – | #328 of 330 · -103.19 |
| 2007–08 | 12–19 | – | #291 of 328 · -27.38 |
| 2006–07 | 11–20 | – | #304 of 326 · -41.06 |
| 2005–06 | 7–20 | – | #291 of 326 · -29.78 |
| 2004–05 | 15–14 | – | #179 of 326 · 26.20 |